Best Buy Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BBY -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: October 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Best Buy Co which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Best Buy hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Best Buy Co from the prospective of Best Buy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Best Buy over a specific investment horizon. Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Best Buy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Best Buy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 20, 2019
69.88
Current Value
70.48
After-hype Price
78.52
Upside
Best Buy is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Best Buy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Best Buy Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  2.68% 0.04   0.05  7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.8870.480.06 
536.00

Best Buy Hype Timeline

On 20 of October Best Buy is traded for 69.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Best Buy Co is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 70.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 536.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Best Buy is about 392.39% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 69.93. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.66. Best Buy recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.53. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-09-18. The firm had 3:2 split on 2005-08-04. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Best Buy Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BJs Wholesale Club Holdings I(0.68) 11 per month 2.44  0.05  4.25 (5.26)  22.88 
JD Com 0.36 10 per month 2.61  0.0095  3.88 (4.07)  18.84 
Lands End(0.53) 7 per month 3.46  0.06  6.38 (6.58)  44.31 
EBay 0.41 10 per month 0.00  0.0007  2.79 (2.73)  7.12 
Etsy 1.52 10 per month 0.00 (0.0354)  4.07 (5.20)  16.44 
Five Below 0.41 9 per month 2.23  0.06  4.62 (3.34)  10.22 
1 800 FLOWERS COM 0.18 10 per month 0.00 (0.17)  2.89 (3.31)  15.74 
Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance(3.31) 5 per month 1.66  0.05  2.69 (2.59)  7.52 
Acorn International 0.74 4 per month 0.00  0.0018  6.73 (4.80)  15.32 
AutoZone 7.73 8 per month 0.00 (0.0293)  2.24 (2.41)  7.50 
Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
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