Biglari Holdings Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BH -- USA Stock  

USD 106.87  0.67  0.63%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biglari Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Biglari Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Biglari Holdings from the prospective of Biglari Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Biglari Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Check also Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Biglari Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Biglari Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 22, 2019
106.87
Current Value
108.33
After-hype Price
117.03
Upside
Biglari Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biglari Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Biglari Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.30  2.90% 1.46   0.40  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
106.87108.331.37 
59.43

Biglari Holdings Hype Timeline

As of November 22, 2019 Biglari Holdings is listed for 106.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.46 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.4. Biglari Holdings is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 108.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 59.43%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 1.37% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Biglari Holdings is about 218.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 106.47. The company generated yearly revenue of 749.13 M. Reported Net Income was 60.54 M with gross profit of 148.46 M. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 8 days.
Check also Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Biglari Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Fiesta Restaurant Group 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.37 (4.70)  16.73 
Biglari Holdings 4.88 8 per month 2.19  0.0407  6.03 (4.40)  13.45 
Darden Restaurants 1.55 7 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.67 (1.68)  7.25 
Chipotle Mexican Grill(21.03) 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.64 (2.40)  8.81 
Flanigans Enterprises 0.00 5 per month 2.16  0.0141  4.24 (3.88)  12.15 
Dine Brands Global Inc Common 2.31 9 per month 2.04  0.0231  3.10 (3.40)  8.97 
Brinker International 0.95 9 per month 1.69  0.0484  3.25 (2.67)  9.75 
Dominos Pizza(2.90) 12 per month 1.06  0.14  2.97 (2.30)  8.43 
Bbq Holdings 0.24 11 per month 2.83  0.0222  5.51 (6.41)  15.56 
Dunkin Brands Group 0.72 8 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.67 (2.14)  9.60 

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Check also Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
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