Biglari Holdings Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BH -- USA Stock  

USD 109.15  0.11  0.10%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biglari Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Biglari Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Biglari Holdings from the prospective of Biglari Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Biglari Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Check also Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Biglari Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Biglari Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 17, 2019
109.15
Current Value
100.48
Downside
109.72
After-hype Price
118.96
Upside
Biglari Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biglari Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Biglari Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 3.10% 0.64%  0.12% 5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
109.15109.720.62%
87.08% 

Biglari Holdings Hype Timeline

As of September 17, 2019 Biglari Holdings is listed for 109.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.64 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Biglari Holdings is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 109.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 87.08%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.62% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Biglari Holdings is about 453.88% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 109.03. The company generated yearly revenue of 749.13M. Reported Net Income was 60.54M with gross profit of 148.46M. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Biglari Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Biglari Holdings 3.56 5 per month 2.25  0.0368  5.50 (4.40)  11.05 
Dunkin Brands Group(1.43) 8 per month 0.96 (0.0011)  1.88 (1.76)  4.77 
Flanigans Enterprises 0.00 8 per month 1.39  0.0098  2.86 (3.37)  8.67 
Chipotle Mexican Grill(10.85) 9 per month 1.28  0.09  2.39 (1.67)  11.34 
Dine Brands Global Inc Common(0.77) 8 per month 0.00 (0.19)  3.55 (4.05)  10.54 
Dominos Pizza 4.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.41 (3.06)  11.27 
Darden Restaurants(0.07) 8 per month 1.19  0.0382  1.99 (1.99)  6.22 
Brinker International(0.60) 10 per month 1.95  0.06  3.47 (4.16)  8.10 
Fiesta Restaurant Group(0.51) 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.30 (4.11)  13.48 
FAT Brands(0.20) 8 per month 2.52  0.0304  5.21 (4.82)  14.19 

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