BHP Group Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BHP -- USA Stock  

USD 48.81  0.49  1.01%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BHP Group Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With BHP Group hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of BHP Group Limited from the prospective of BHP Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BHP Group over a specific investment horizon. Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

BHP Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

BHP Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 19, 2019
48.81
Current Value
48.38
After-hype Price
52.91
Upside
BHP Group is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BHP Group Limited is based on 2 months time horizon.

BHP Group Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.38% 1.47% 0.07%  0.06% 5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.8148.380.12%
773.68% 

BHP Group Hype Timeline

On 19 of August BHP Group Limited is traded for 48.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. BHP Group Limited is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 48.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 773.68%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.12% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on BHP Group is about 990.83% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 48.75. The company reported last year revenue of 44.16B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.84B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.91B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BHP Group Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Dynaresource 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.0071)  0.01 (10.00)  57.04 
EL CAPITAN PRECIOUS METALS INC 0.00 0 per month 8.71  0.06  18.70 (16.59)  54.59 
Auryn Resources(0.02) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0485)  6.57 (5.30)  12.36 
BHP Group Limited 0.19 5 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.22 (3.49)  6.31 
Buenaventura Mining Company(1.04) 6 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.87 (3.75)  14.05 
Cameco Corporation 0.16 6 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.68 (3.66)  12.25 
Cleveland Cliffs 0.25 6 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.96 (5.46)  13.52 
Compass Minerals Intl(1.07) 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.32 (3.31)  11.78 
Denison Mines Corp 0.0482 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  4.45 (3.54)  13.12 
Entree Resources Ltd(0.0018) 2 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.50 (4.34)  21.60 
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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