BHP Group Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BHP -- USA Stock  

USD 53.00  0.41  0.78%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BHP Group Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With BHP Group hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of BHP Group Limited from the prospective of BHP Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BHP Group over a specific investment horizon. Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

BHP Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

BHP Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
53.00
December 11, 2019
51.74
After-hype Price
55.40
Upside
BHP Group is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BHP Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

BHP Group Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  1.21  0.01   0.00  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.0051.740.02 
1,210  

BHP Group Hype Timeline

On the 11th of December 2019 BHP Group Limited is traded for 53.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. BHP Group Limited is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 51.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1210.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on BHP Group is about 119801.98% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 53.0. The book value of the company was currently reported as 17.58. The company last dividend was issued on 2019-09-05. BHP Group Limited had 20651:10000 split on 2001-07-13. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BHP Group Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Dynaresource 0.00 2 per month 13.32  0.07  25.20 (21.62)  134.66 
EL CAPITAN PRECIOUS METALS INC 0.00 0 per month 23.34  0.09  56.25 (48.00)  120.20 
BHP Group Limited(0.10) 8 per month 1.23  0.0262  1.88 (2.00)  5.21 
Compass Minerals Intl 0.17 10 per month 2.36  0.0278  2.76 (2.85)  12.53 
EMX Royalty Corporation(0.01) 7 per month 1.54  0.05  4.20 (2.90)  11.55 
General Moly 0.007 8 per month 4.84  0.1  9.82 (6.50)  52.49 
Great Panther Mining Limited 0.0049 10 per month 0.00 (0.28)  3.94 (6.50)  19.54 
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd 0.008 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.94 (4.53)  18.50 
HANDENI GOLD INC(0.01) 3 per month 0.00  0.17  76.99 (9.60)  421.62 
U S LITHIUM CORP(0.08) 8 per month 13.06  0.11  38.80 (23.57)  94.00 
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot price ceiling movement for different equity instruments.
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