BHP Group Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BHP -- USA Stock  

USD 51.35  0.16  0.31%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BHP Group Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With BHP Group hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of BHP Group Limited from the prospective of BHP Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BHP Group over a specific investment horizon. Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

BHP Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

BHP Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 20, 2019
51.35
Current Value
51.53
After-hype Price
55.91
Upside
BHP Group is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BHP Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

BHP Group Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12% 1.46% 0.05%  0.02% 9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.3551.530.10%
384.21% 

BHP Group Hype Timeline

On 20 of September BHP Group Limited is traded for 51.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. BHP Group Limited is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 51.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 384.21%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on BHP Group is about 892.91% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 51.37. The book value of the company was currently reported as 18.68. The company last dividend was issued on 2019-09-05. BHP Group Limited had 20651:10000 split on 2001-07-13. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BHP Group Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Dynaresource 0.13 2 per month 0.00 (0.0209)  6.67 (10.00)  103.53 
EL CAPITAN PRECIOUS METALS INC 0.0031 1 per month 0.00 (0.0362)  13.28 (13.22)  35.59 
Auryn Resources 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  6.57 (5.30)  16.68 
BHP Group Limited(0.38) 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.22 (3.11)  6.38 
Buenaventura Mining Company(0.02) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0431)  3.33 (3.58)  14.05 
Cameco Corporation(0.06) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.75 (3.66)  12.25 
Cleveland Cliffs(0.37) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.48 (5.46)  19.63 
Compass Minerals Intl 2.31 8 per month 2.36  0.011  3.43 (3.20)  11.78 
Denison Mines Corp(0.008) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0388)  5.22 (3.98)  15.67 
Entree Resources Ltd 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.17)  4.50 (4.86)  21.60 
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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