Baidu Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BIDU -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baidu which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Baidu hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Baidu from the prospective of Baidu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Baidu over a specific investment horizon. Check also Baidu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Baidu After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Baidu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
115.20
December 9, 2019
108.00
Downside
115.65
After-hype Price
123.30
Upside
Baidu is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baidu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baidu Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  2.53  0.18   0.00  10 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
115.20115.650.17 
139.01  

Baidu Hype Timeline

Baidu is currently traded for115.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Baidu is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 115.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 139.01%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Baidu is about 5500.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 115.2. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Baidu recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.83. The entity last dividend was issued on 2010-09-30. The firm had 10:1 split on 2010-05-12. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check also Baidu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Baidu Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Facebook 0.44 11 per month 1.19  0.0412  2.31 (1.67)  6.97 
Douyu International Holdings Ltd Ads 0.25 4 per month 0.00 (0.0413)  6.84 (9.40)  25.58 
IQIYI 0.16 11 per month 1.26  0.11  3.64 (2.46)  20.51 
Gaia 0.26 9 per month 2.55  0.08  7.35 (4.42)  27.10 
Groupon 0.05 10 per month 2.24  0.06  4.51 (3.99)  13.66 
Phoenix New Media Limited(0.03) 9 per month 3.08  0.05  7.11 (3.86)  18.05 
Spark Networks(0.05) 9 per month 0.00 (0.24)  2.86 (5.90)  14.00 
EverQuote(2.70) 9 per month 3.77  0.20  8.26 (6.27)  40.75 
IACInterActiveCorp 1.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.86 (3.18)  11.66 
Jianpu Technology 0.12 10 per month 0.00 (0.19)  5.29 (8.41)  31.32 
Check also Baidu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
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