Big Lots Stock Performance
| BIG Stock | USD 3.66 0.23 6.71% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.72, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Big Lots will likely underperform. Big Lots has an expected return of -0.61%. Please make sure to confirm Big Lots skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Big Lots performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Big Lots has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite sluggish performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 6.71 | Five Day Return 0.27 | Year To Date Return (54.19) | Ten Year Return (90.72) | All Time Return 34.56 |
Payout Ratio 0.5172 | Last Split Factor 5:4 | Dividend Date 2023-03-31 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-03-16 | Last Split Date 1997-06-25 |
1 | Big Lots facing major hurdles to recovery, Loop downgrades to Sell | 02/12/2024 |
2 | Disposition of tradable shares by Short Maureen B of Big Lots subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/01/2024 |
3 | Big Lots Q4 2024 Earnings Preview | 03/06/2024 |
4 | Big Lots Non-GAAP EPS of -0.28 misses by 0.02, revenue of 1.43B in-line | 03/07/2024 |
5 | Big Lots Full Year 2024 Earnings EPS Misses Expectations | 03/08/2024 |
6 | Big Lots supports the American Heart Associations Life is Why campaign as they champion womens heart health | 03/14/2024 |
7 | Acquisition by Cynthia Jamison of 8185 shares of Big Lots subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/15/2024 |
8 | Disposition of 1556 shares by Jonathan Ramsden of Big Lots at 4.02 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/22/2024 |
9 | Big Lots Downgraded by StockNews.com to Sell - Defense World | 03/28/2024 |
10 | Big Lots Bolsters Global Product Sourcing with Launch of Asia-based Buying Offices | 04/01/2024 |
11 | Big Lots adds borrowing capacity with new term loan facility | 04/18/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 44.7 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -252 M |
Big |
Big Lots Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 628.00 in Big Lots on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (262.00) from holding Big Lots or give up 41.72% of portfolio value over 90 days. Big Lots is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 6.954% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 61% of stocks are less volatile than Big, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Big Lots Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Big Lots' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Big Lots, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Big Lots' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0872
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | BIG |
Estimated Market Risk
| 6.95 actual daily | 61 61% of assets are less volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.61 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.09 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Big Lots is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Big Lots by adding Big Lots to a well-diversified portfolio.
Big Lots Fundamentals Growth
Big Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Big Lots, and Big Lots fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Big Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.92 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0748 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.10) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.0008) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.32 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 29.22 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.32 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.02 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.72 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.91 B | ||||
| EBITDA | (455.32 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (481.88 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 44.73 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.70 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.27 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.31 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.43 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.74 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (251.96 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (15.91) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 101.97 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.33 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.24 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 365.46 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 994.43 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 678.45 M | ||||
About Big Lots Performance
To evaluate Big Lots Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Big Lots generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Big Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Big Lots market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Big's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 109.42 | 137.62 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.14) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.24) | (0.23) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.14) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.69) | (1.61) |
Things to note about Big Lots performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Big Lots for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Big Lots help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Big Lots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Big Lots has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.72 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (481.88 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B. | |
| Big Lots has about 44.73 M in cash with (251.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.7. | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Big Lots adds borrowing capacity with new term loan facility |
- Analyzing Big Lots' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Big Lots' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Big Lots' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Big Lots' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Big Lots' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Big Lots' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Big Lots' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Big Lots. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. For more detail on how to invest in Big Stock please use our How to Invest in Big Lots guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
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When running Big Lots' price analysis, check to measure Big Lots' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big Lots is operating at the current time. Most of Big Lots' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big Lots' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big Lots' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big Lots to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Big Lots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big Lots. If investors know Big will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big Lots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share (15.91) | Revenue Per Share 161.965 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Big Lots is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big Lots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big Lots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big Lots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big Lots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big Lots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Big Lots is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big Lots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.