Brookdale Senior Living Stock Price Prediction

BKD Stock  USD 6.59  0.16  2.49%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Brookdale Senior's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brookdale Senior, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Brookdale Senior Living stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Brookdale Senior shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Brookdale Senior's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brookdale Senior and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brookdale Senior's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brookdale Senior Living, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brookdale Senior's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.15)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.72)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.59)
Wall Street Target Price
6.83
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.21)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Brookdale Senior based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Brookdale stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Brookdale Senior over a specific investment horizon. Using Brookdale Senior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookdale Senior Living from the perspective of Brookdale Senior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brookdale Senior using Brookdale Senior's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brookdale using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brookdale Senior's stock price.

Brookdale Senior Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Brookdale Senior's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Brookdale. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Brookdale Senior stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Brookdale Senior may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brookdale Senior and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brookdale Senior with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.7632
Short Percent
0.1157
Short Ratio
8.45
Shares Short Prior Month
17.4 M
50 Day MA
5.8368

Brookdale Senior Living Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Brookdale Senior's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brookdale. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brookdale can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brookdale Senior Living. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brookdale Senior's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brookdale Senior.

Brookdale Senior Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Brookdale Senior's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brookdale Senior Living stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brookdale Senior's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brookdale Senior stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brookdale Senior's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Brookdale Senior. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brookdale Senior to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brookdale because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Brookdale Senior after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Brookdale Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookdale Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.585.879.16
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.005.496.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.2-0.18-0.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brookdale Senior. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brookdale Senior's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brookdale Senior's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brookdale Senior Living.

Brookdale Senior After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Brookdale Senior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookdale Senior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookdale Senior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Brookdale Senior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Brookdale Senior's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookdale Senior's historical news coverage. Brookdale Senior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.27 and 9.85, respectively. We have considered Brookdale Senior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.59
6.56
After-hype Price
9.85
Upside
Brookdale Senior is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookdale Senior Living is based on 3 months time horizon.

Brookdale Senior Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookdale Senior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookdale Senior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookdale Senior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
3.29
  0.03 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.59
6.56
0.46 
2,991  
Notes

Brookdale Senior Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Brookdale Senior Living is traded for 6.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Brookdale is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Brookdale Senior is about 197400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.59. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Brookdale Senior was currently reported as 2.14. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.84. Brookdale Senior Living last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2008. The entity had 5:6 split on the 8th of April 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Brookdale Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Brookdale Senior Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Brookdale Senior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookdale Senior's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookdale Senior rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookdale Senior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Brookdale Senior Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brookdale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookdale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookdale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Brookdale Senior Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Brookdale Senior stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brookdale Senior Living, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brookdale Senior based on analysis of Brookdale Senior hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brookdale Senior's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brookdale Senior's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0094950.00902
Price To Sales Ratio0.440.41

Story Coverage note for Brookdale Senior

The number of cover stories for Brookdale Senior depends on current market conditions and Brookdale Senior's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookdale Senior is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookdale Senior's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Brookdale Senior Short Properties

Brookdale Senior's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brookdale Senior's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brookdale Senior Living often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brookdale Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookdale Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding225.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments307.7 M
When determining whether Brookdale Senior Living is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Brookdale Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Brookdale Senior Living Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Brookdale Senior Living Stock:
Check out Brookdale Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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When running Brookdale Senior's price analysis, check to measure Brookdale Senior's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookdale Senior is operating at the current time. Most of Brookdale Senior's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookdale Senior's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookdale Senior's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookdale Senior to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brookdale Senior's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brookdale Senior. If investors know Brookdale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brookdale Senior listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.84)
Revenue Per Share
12.732
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.089
Return On Assets
0.0029
Return On Equity
(0.38)
The market value of Brookdale Senior Living is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brookdale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brookdale Senior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brookdale Senior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brookdale Senior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brookdale Senior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brookdale Senior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brookdale Senior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brookdale Senior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.