Ballard Power Systems Stock Price Prediction
| BLDP Stock | USD 2.54 0.07 2.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Ballard Power Systems stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ballard Power shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ballard Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ballard Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ballard Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ballard Power Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ballard Power's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.292 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ballard Power based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ballard stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ballard Power over a specific investment horizon. Using Ballard Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ballard Power Systems from the perspective of Ballard Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ballard Power using Ballard Power's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ballard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ballard Power's stock price.
Ballard Power Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ballard Power's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ballard. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ballard Power stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Ballard Power may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ballard Power and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ballard Power with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.5984 | Short Percent 0.1016 | Short Ratio 7.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 23.2 M | 50 Day MA 2.984 |
Ballard Power Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ballard Power's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ballard. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ballard can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ballard Power Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ballard Power's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ballard Power.
Ballard Power Implied Volatility | 64.52 |
Ballard Power's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ballard Power Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ballard Power's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ballard Power stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ballard Power's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ballard Power. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ballard Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ballard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ballard Power after-hype prediction price | USD 2.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ballard |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ballard Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ballard Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ballard Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ballard Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ballard Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ballard Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ballard Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ballard Power's historical news coverage. Ballard Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 6.57, respectively. We have considered Ballard Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ballard Power is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ballard Power Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ballard Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ballard Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ballard Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ballard Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.96 | 0.03 | 1.52 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.54 | 2.61 | 0.00 |
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Ballard Power Hype Timeline
Ballard Power Systems is currently traded for 2.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.52. Ballard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ballard Power is about 80.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.06. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ballard Power Systems recorded a loss per share of 0.48. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:1 split on the 3rd of June 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Ballard Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ballard Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ballard Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ballard Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Ballard Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ballard Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (2.65) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.07 | (1.62) | 3.43 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 12.44 | 10 per month | 0.58 | 0.11 | 2.03 | (1.26) | 9.08 |
Ballard Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ballard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ballard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ballard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ballard Power Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ballard Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ballard Power Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ballard Power based on analysis of Ballard Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ballard Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ballard Power's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.017 | 0.015 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.6 | 10.07 |
Story Coverage note for Ballard Power
The number of cover stories for Ballard Power depends on current market conditions and Ballard Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ballard Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ballard Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ballard Power Short Properties
Ballard Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ballard Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ballard Power Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ballard Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ballard Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 298.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 749.4 M |
Check out Ballard Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Ballard Power Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ballard Power's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Ballard Stock analysis
When running Ballard Power's price analysis, check to measure Ballard Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ballard Power is operating at the current time. Most of Ballard Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ballard Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ballard Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ballard Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ballard Power's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ballard Power. If investors know Ballard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ballard Power listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.48) | Revenue Per Share 0.343 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.292 | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of Ballard Power Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ballard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ballard Power's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ballard Power's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ballard Power's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ballard Power's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ballard Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ballard Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ballard Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.