Bok Financial Stock Price Prediction
| BOKF Stock | USD 93.05 1.94 2.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
BOK Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BOK Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BOK Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BOK Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BOK Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BOK Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BOK Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.47 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.29 | Wall Street Target Price 96 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BOK Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BOK stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BOK Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using BOK Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BOK Financial from the perspective of BOK Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BOK Financial using BOK Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BOK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BOK Financial's stock price.
BOK Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BOK Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BOK. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BOK Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long BOK Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BOK Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge BOK Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 82.1538 | Short Percent 0.023 | Short Ratio 3.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 445.5 K | 50 Day MA 86.8174 |
BOK Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BOK Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BOK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BOK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BOK Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BOK Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BOK Financial.
BOK Financial Implied Volatility | 37.88 |
BOK Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BOK Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BOK Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BOK Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when BOK Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BOK Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BOK Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BOK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BOK Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 93.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BOK contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BOK Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.37% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With BOK Financial trading at USD 93.05, that is roughly USD 2.2 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BOK Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BOK Financial options at the current volatility level of 37.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
BOK |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BOK Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BOK Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BOK Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BOK Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BOK Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BOK Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BOK Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BOK Financial's historical news coverage. BOK Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.39 and 94.77, respectively. We have considered BOK Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BOK Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BOK Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
BOK Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BOK Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BOK Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BOK Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.70 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
93.05 | 93.08 | 0.03 |
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BOK Financial Hype Timeline
BOK Financial is currently traded for 93.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. BOK is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 93.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on BOK Financial is about 504.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.00. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.97 B. Net Income was 531.13 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.82 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out BOK Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BOK Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BOK Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BOK Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how BOK Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BOK Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
BOK Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BOK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BOK using various technical indicators. When you analyze BOK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BOK Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BOK Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BOK Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BOK Financial based on analysis of BOK Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BOK Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BOK Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0199 | 0.0206 | 0.0255 | 0.0131 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.95 | 3.84 | 2.85 | 2.38 |
Story Coverage note for BOK Financial
The number of cover stories for BOK Financial depends on current market conditions and BOK Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BOK Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BOK Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BOK Financial Short Properties
BOK Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when BOK Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BOK Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BOK Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOK Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 203.8 M |
Check out BOK Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in BOK Stock please use our How to Invest in BOK Financial guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for BOK Stock analysis
When running BOK Financial's price analysis, check to measure BOK Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BOK Financial is operating at the current time. Most of BOK Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BOK Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BOK Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BOK Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BOK Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BOK Financial. If investors know BOK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BOK Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Dividend Share 2.18 | Earnings Share 8.02 | Revenue Per Share 30.71 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of BOK Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BOK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BOK Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BOK Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BOK Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BOK Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BOK Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BOK Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BOK Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.