MFS Blended Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BRKAX -- USA Fund  

USD 12.44  0.11  0.89%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Blended hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A from the prospective of MFS Blended response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Blended over a specific investment horizon. Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Blended After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MFS Blended Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 15, 2018
12.44
Current Value
12.41
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
16.97
Upside
MFS Blended is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Blended Research is based on 1 month time horizon.

MFS Blended Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16% 1.52% 0.03%  0.01% 1 Events / Month5 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.4412.410.24%
723.81% 

MFS Blended Hype Timeline

MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A is currently traded for12.44. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 12.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 723.81%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.24% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Blended is about 2338.46% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.45. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Blended Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx Inv 0.00 0 per month 1.87  0.10  2.58 (2.65)  5.86 
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx InsPlus 0.40 3 per month 0.00  0.0254  2.58 (3.26)  6.95 
Oppenheimer Developing Markets Y 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0137  2.00 (2.49)  4.99 
Oppenheimer Developing Markets I 0.35 2 per month 0.00  0.0138  2.03 (2.49)  4.98 
Oppenheimer Developing Markets R 0.34 2 per month 0.00  0.0119  2.01 (2.48)  5.00 
American Funds New World R2(0.83) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0081)  1.85 (1.92)  5.55 
American Funds New World R4 0.81 4 per month 0.00 (0.0095)  1.85 (2.62)  4.53 
American Funds New World A(0.04) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0094)  1.84 (2.64)  4.54 
American Funds New World F1(0.85) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0151)  1.33 (1.91)  3.29 
American Funds New World R5E 0.47 5 per month 0.00 (0.0131)  1.35 (1.91)  3.63 

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Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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