MFS Blended Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BRKAX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.32  0.12  0.91%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Blended hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A from the prospective of MFS Blended response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Blended over a specific investment horizon. Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Blended After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

MFS Blended Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 21, 2018
13.32
Current Value
13.32
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
16.17
Upside
MFS Blended is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Blended Research is based on 1 month time horizon.

MFS Blended Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 0.95% 0.00%  0.01% 2 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.3213.320.00%
0.00% 

MFS Blended Hype Timeline

MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A is currently traded for13.32. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. MFS Blended Research Em Mkts Eq A is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MFS Blended is about 1187.5%%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Blended is about 1187.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.31. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Blended Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Oppenheimer Developing Markets Y 0.00 0 per month 1.26 (0.08)  2.04 (1.59)  4.28 
American Funds New World R2 0.13 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.80 (1.11)  3.03 
American Funds New World 529A 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.79 (1.33)  3.44 
American Funds New World R4(0.68) 5 per month 0.00 (0.17)  0.81 (1.09)  2.97 
American Funds New World R1(0.35) 5 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.36 (1.20)  2.82 
American Funds New World R6 0.28 4 per month 0.75 (0.13)  0.80 (1.11)  3.73 
American Funds New World F2 0.10 5 per month 1.01 (0.11)  0.80 (1.33)  4.00 
American Funds New World 529E 0.13 6 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.80 (1.09)  2.70 
DFA Emerging Markets Core Equity I(0.41) 2 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.23 (1.92)  3.43 
T Rowe Price Emerging Markets Stock I 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.36 (1.82)  3.89 

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Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
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