MFS Blended Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BRLUX -- USA Fund  

USD 12.35  0.02  0.16%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Blended Research Global Equ which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Blended hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Blended Research Global Equ from the prospective of MFS Blended response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Blended over a specific investment horizon. Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Blended After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MFS Blended Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
12.35
December 11, 2019
12.35
After-hype Price
14.09
Upside
MFS Blended is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Blended Research is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFS Blended Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  0.58  0.00   0.01  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.3512.350.00 
2,900  

MFS Blended Hype Timeline

MFS Blended Research is currently traded for12.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. MFS Blended Research Global Equ is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2900.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MFS Blended is about 278.85%%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Blended is about 278.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.34. The company last dividend was issued on Decemberember 18, 2018. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Blended Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Capital World Growth And Income 0.04 8 per month 0.67  0.013  0.97 (1.08)  3.55 
American Funds Capital World 0.05 8 per month 0.59  0.0133  1.05 (0.94)  2.61 
Capital World Growth And Income 0.10 1 per month 0.86  0.0111  1.08 (1.36)  5.89 
American Funds Capital World(1.68) 1 per month 0.90  0.0113  1.11 (1.37)  6.05 
American Funds Capital World(0.26) 8 per month 0.73  0.0116  1.15 (0.92)  4.17 
Capital World Growth And Income 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.013  1.03 (1.22)  2.97 
American Funds Capital World 0.04 8 per month 0.70  0.0122  1.08 (1.12)  3.19 
American Funds Capital World Gr 0.04 8 per month 0.80  0.0115  1.08 (1.22)  4.33 
American Funds Capital World Gr(0.58) 1 per month 0.65  0.0126  1.05 (1.35)  2.98 
American Funds Capital World Gr 0.17 8 per month 0.63  0.0129  1.06 (0.96)  3.50 
Check also MFS Blended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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