American Beacon Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BRLVX -- USA Fund  

USD 26.21  0.07  0.27%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Beacon Bridgeway Large which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Beacon hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Beacon Bridgeway Large from the prospective of American Beacon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Beacon over a specific investment horizon. Check also American Beacon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Beacon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Beacon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 21, 2019
26.21
Current Value
26.21
After-hype Price
29.48
Upside
American Beacon is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Beacon Brid is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Beacon Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03  1.09% 0.00   0.01  11 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.2126.210.00 
2,180

American Beacon Hype Timeline

American Beacon Brid is currently traded for26.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. American Beacon Bridgeway Large is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2180.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Beacon is about 425.78%%. The volatility of related hype on American Beacon is about 425.78% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.2. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Beacon Brid last dividend was issued on Decemberember 20, 2018. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check also American Beacon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Beacon Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Index Trust Vanguard V 0.40 1 per month 0.00  0.0158  1.39 (2.41)  5.18 
American Mutual Fund Class A Sh 0.00 0 per month 0.95  0.0409  0.99 (2.02)  3.76 
American Mutual Fund Class R 4(0.22) 12 per month 0.95  0.04  1.00 (2.02)  4.25 
American Mutual Fund Class R 3 0.26 8 per month 0.92  0.0406  1.00 (2.02)  3.77 
MFS Value Fund Share Class 52(0.63) 8 per month 1.08  0.0206  1.29 (1.93)  5.40 
MFS Value Fund Cl R2(0.63) 8 per month 1.24  0.02  1.58 (2.47)  5.45 
MFS Value Fund Class R1(1.28) 11 per month 0.00  0.0208  1.26 (2.47)  4.20 
MFS Value Fund Share Class 52(0.62) 8 per month 1.19  0.0196  1.60 (2.45)  5.46 
MFS Series Trust I MFS Value 0.16 11 per month 1.08  0.021  1.26 (2.45)  4.77 
MFS Value Fund Class R4 0.00 0 per month 1.09  0.0199  1.26 (1.91)  5.99 
Check also American Beacon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
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