Baldwin Lyons Price Prediction

Baldwin Lyons -- USA Stock  

USD 23.55  0.05  0.21%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Baldwin Lyons headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baldwin Lyons brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Baldwin Lyons hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Baldwin Lyons from the prospective of Baldwin Lyons response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Baldwin Lyons over a specific investment horizon. Check also Baldwin Lyons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Baldwin Lyons After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Baldwin Lyons Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 24, 2018
23.55
Current Value
23.55
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
27.63
Upside
Baldwin Lyons is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baldwin Lyons is based on 2 months time horizon.

Baldwin Lyons Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 1.36% 0.00%  0.06% 1 Events / Month4 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.5523.550.00%
2,720% 

Baldwin Lyons Hype Timeline

Baldwin Lyons is currently traded for23.55. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Baldwin Lyons is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2720.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Baldwin Lyons is about 89.06%%. The volatility of related hype on Baldwin Lyons is about 89.06% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.49. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Baldwin Lyons has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.36. This company last dividend was issued on Februaryruary 22, 2018. The firm had 5:4 split on 2003-03-04. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check also Baldwin Lyons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Baldwin Lyons Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Loews Corporation(0.19) 1 per month 1.31  0.11  1.69 (2.24)  5.79 
Alleghany Corporation(15.45) 3 per month 0.00  0.0259  2.75 (2.64)  7.79 
Chubb Limited 0.02 2 per month 0.00 (0.058)  1.47 (1.87)  4.36 
Cigna Corporation 0.26 2 per month 0.00 (0.0819)  1.94 (1.99)  12.96 
OneBeacon Insurance Group Ltd 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.19  0.11 (0.06)  1.32 
Patriot National 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Everest Re Group Ltd 0.97 3 per month 1.18  0.0716  2.06 (1.84)  10.02 
Validus Holdings Ltd(0.02) 3 per month 0.10  0.48  0.16 (0.18)  0.78 
XL(0.17) 2 per month 0.00  0.16  0.99 (0.76)  29.60 
Voya Financial(0.69) 1 per month 1.83  0.098  2.25 (2.67)  8.27 

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