Baldwin Lyons Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BWINB -- USA Stock  

USD 23.50  0.05  0.21%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Baldwin Lyons headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baldwin Lyons brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Baldwin Lyons hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Baldwin Lyons from the prospective of Baldwin Lyons response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Baldwin Lyons over a specific investment horizon. Check also Baldwin Lyons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Baldwin Lyons After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Baldwin Lyons Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 21, 2018
23.50
Current Value
23.52
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
27.45
Upside
Baldwin Lyons is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baldwin Lyons is based on 1 month time horizon.

Baldwin Lyons Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16% 1.31% 0.02%  0.03% 2 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.5023.520.09%
873.33% 

Baldwin Lyons Hype Timeline

Baldwin Lyons is currently traded for23.50. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Baldwin Lyons is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 23.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 873.33%. The closing price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 0.09% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Baldwin Lyons is about 715.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.53. The company reported revenue of 393.67 M. Net Income was 11.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.91 M. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check also Baldwin Lyons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Baldwin Lyons Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Loews Corporation(0.19) 5 per month 0.74 (0.11)  1.12 (1.26)  3.95 
Chubb Limited(1.27) 5 per month 0.62  0.11  1.21 (1.40)  3.64 
EMC Insurance Group(0.03) 4 per month 1.61 (0.0091)  2.28 (1.88)  6.60 
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited 0.72 2 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.41 (2.36)  5.64 
American Financial Group 1.76 7 per month 1.20 (0.08)  1.15 (1.67)  4.38 
Atlas Financial Holdings 0.15 3 per month 0.00 (0.29)  4.32 (5.00)  10.71 
The Allstate Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited 0.03 5 per month 0.94 (0.0185)  1.21 (1.79)  3.91 
Federated National Holding Company 0.48 4 per month 1.09 (0.0136)  2.06 (1.71)  4.88 
CNA Financial Corporation 0.18 4 per month 0.58  0.021  1.49 (1.06)  3.58 

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Check also Baldwin Lyons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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