Boston Properties Stock Price Prediction
| BXP Stock | USD 62.94 0.01 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Boston Properties stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Boston Properties shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Boston Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Boston Properties and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Boston Properties' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boston Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Boston Properties' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.19 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.06 | Wall Street Target Price 71.82 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Boston Properties based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Boston stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Boston Properties over a specific investment horizon. Using Boston Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boston Properties from the perspective of Boston Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boston Properties using Boston Properties' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boston using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boston Properties' stock price.
Boston Properties Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Boston Properties' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Boston. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Boston Properties stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Boston Properties may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Boston Properties and may potentially protect profits, hedge Boston Properties with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 63.001 | Short Percent 0.0714 | Short Ratio 6.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.5 M | 50 Day MA 63.1904 |
Boston Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Boston Properties' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boston. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boston can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boston Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Boston Properties' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Boston Properties.
Boston Properties Implied Volatility | 40.7 |
Boston Properties' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boston Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boston Properties' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boston Properties stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boston Properties' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Boston Properties. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boston Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boston because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Boston Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 62.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Boston contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Boston Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.54% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Boston Properties trading at USD 62.94, that is roughly USD 1.6 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Boston Properties' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Boston Properties options at the current volatility level of 40.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Boston |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boston Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boston Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boston Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boston Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boston Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boston Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boston Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boston Properties' historical news coverage. Boston Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.59 and 65.29, respectively. We have considered Boston Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boston Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boston Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boston Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boston Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boston Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boston Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.35 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.94 | 62.94 | 0.00 |
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Boston Properties Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Boston Properties is traded for 62.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Boston is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Boston Properties is about 1119.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.91. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boston Properties has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Boston Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Boston Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boston Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boston Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Boston Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boston Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLG | SL Green Realty | (0.61) | 8 per month | 2.56 | 0.05 | 4.68 | (3.99) | 13.38 | |
| DEI | Douglas Emmett | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.78 | (4.30) | 13.58 | |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corp | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.95 | (4.60) | 13.22 | |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate | (1.81) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.49 | (2.84) | 10.61 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 0.87 | 7 per month | 3.05 | (0.02) | 4.69 | (4.58) | 13.37 | |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.30 | (5.37) | 12.84 | |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.63 | (6.34) | 21.13 | |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties | (0.11) | 11 per month | 2.14 | 0.06 | 4.35 | (3.54) | 13.29 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | (0.28) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.33 | (3.45) | 9.85 | |
| OFC | Corporate Office Properties | (0.11) | 7 per month | 1.36 | (0.02) | 2.44 | (2.46) | 8.62 | |
| PDM | Piedmont Office Realty | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.19 | (4.32) | 12.61 |
Boston Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Boston Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Boston Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boston Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boston Properties based on analysis of Boston Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boston Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boston Properties's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.038 | 0.0647 | 0.0625 | 0.0628 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.22 | 3.41 | 3.36 | 4.62 |
Story Coverage note for Boston Properties
The number of cover stories for Boston Properties depends on current market conditions and Boston Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boston Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boston Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boston Properties Short Properties
Boston Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Boston Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boston Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boston Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 157.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Boston Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Boston Stock, please use our How to Invest in Boston Properties guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Boston Stock analysis
When running Boston Properties' price analysis, check to measure Boston Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boston Properties' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boston Properties. If investors know Boston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boston Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 3.92 | Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share 20.631 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.348 |
The market value of Boston Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boston Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boston Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boston Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boston Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boston Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boston Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boston Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.