Citigroup Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

C -- USA Stock  

USD 55.99  1.08  1.89%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citigroup which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Citigroup hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Citigroup from the prospective of Citigroup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Citigroup over a specific investment horizon. Check also Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Citigroup After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Citigroup Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 12, 2018
55.99
Current Value
56.46
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
62.07
Upside
Citigroup is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citigroup is based on 2 months time horizon.

Citigroup Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.51% 1.90% 0.66%  0.08% 6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.9956.461.07%
147.29% 

Citigroup Hype Timeline

As of December 12, 2018 Citigroup is listed for 55.99. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.66 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Citigroup is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 56.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 147.29%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.07% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Citigroup is about 1241.83% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 55.91. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citigroup has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. This company recorded loss per share of 2.51. The firm last dividend was issued on 2018-11-02. Citigroup had 1:10 split on 2011-05-09. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Citigroup Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Citigroup(1.29) 6 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.21 (3.53)  8.04 
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce 1.26 9 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.52 (2.55)  5.58 
Credit Suisse Group AG 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.21)  2.48 (3.72)  8.08 
East West Bancorp(1.21) 8 per month 0.00 (0.23)  2.29 (4.28)  9.61 
Bank of America Corporation(0.03) 8 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.49 (3.32)  8.12 
Barclays PLC(0.02) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.98 (4.59)  9.97 
Bank of Montreal(0.77) 8 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.48 (2.59)  6.00 
The Bank of Nova Scotia(0.21) 5 per month 0.00 (0.016)  1.28 (1.94)  4.20 
ING Groep N V 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.0243)  2.42 (2.85)  11.49 
JPMorgan Chase Co 0.59 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.14 (3.00)  7.02 

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