Century Communities Stock Price Prediction
| CCS Stock | USD 82.14 1.66 1.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Century Communities stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Century Communities shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Century Communities' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Century Communities and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Century Communities' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Century Communities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Century Communities' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.154 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.42 | Wall Street Target Price 96 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Century Communities based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Century stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Century Communities over a specific investment horizon. Using Century Communities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Century Communities from the perspective of Century Communities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Century Communities using Century Communities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Century using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Century Communities' stock price.
Century Communities Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Century Communities' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Century. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Century Communities stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Century Communities may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Century Communities and may potentially protect profits, hedge Century Communities with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 77.954 | Short Percent 0.058 | Short Ratio 2.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 86.7604 |
Century Communities Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Century Communities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Century. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Century can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Century Communities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Century Communities' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Century Communities.
Century Communities Implied Volatility | 40.76 |
Century Communities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Century Communities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Century Communities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Century Communities stock will not fluctuate a lot when Century Communities' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Century Communities. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Century Communities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Century because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Century Communities after-hype prediction price | USD 82.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Century contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Century Communities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.55% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Century Communities trading at USD 82.14, that is roughly USD 2.09 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Century Communities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Century Communities options at the current volatility level of 40.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Century |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Century Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Century Communities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Century Communities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Century Communities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Century Communities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Century Communities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Century Communities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Century Communities' historical news coverage. Century Communities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.72 and 84.50, respectively. We have considered Century Communities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Century Communities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Century Communities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Century Communities Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Century Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Century Communities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Century Communities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.39 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
82.14 | 82.11 | 0.04 |
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Century Communities Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Century Communities is traded for 82.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Century is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Century Communities is about 535.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.11. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.11. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Century Communities has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.05. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Century Communities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Century Communities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Century Communities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Century Communities' future price movements. Getting to know how Century Communities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Century Communities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMHC | Taylor Morn Home | (1.50) | 11 per month | 2.22 | 0.01 | 3.48 | (4.37) | 10.17 | |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | (0.38) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.65 | (5.59) | 14.15 | |
| MTH | Meritage | 3.42 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.46 | (5.23) | 9.80 | |
| TPH | TRI Pointe Homes | 0.01 | 9 per month | 2.12 | (0) | 3.07 | (3.92) | 8.93 | |
| MHO | MI Homes | (0.27) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.63 | (5.54) | 10.93 | |
| KBH | KB Home | 0.46 | 11 per month | 2.26 | 0.02 | 2.72 | (4.67) | 9.13 | |
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises | (0.77) | 8 per month | 3.91 | (0) | 7.05 | (6.00) | 15.37 | |
| IBP | Installed Building Products | (4.54) | 5 per month | 2.08 | 0.11 | 4.28 | (3.70) | 15.64 |
Century Communities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Century price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Century using various technical indicators. When you analyze Century charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Century Communities Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Century Communities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Century Communities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Century Communities based on analysis of Century Communities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Century Communities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Century Communities's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005511 | 0.016 | 0.0101 | 0.009595 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.65 | 0.36 | 0.79 | 0.89 |
Story Coverage note for Century Communities
The number of cover stories for Century Communities depends on current market conditions and Century Communities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Century Communities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Century Communities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Century Communities Short Properties
Century Communities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Century Communities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Century Communities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Century Communities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Century Communities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 226.2 M |
Check out Century Communities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Century Stock please use our How to Invest in Century Communities guide.Note that the Century Communities information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Century Communities' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Century Stock analysis
When running Century Communities' price analysis, check to measure Century Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Communities is operating at the current time. Most of Century Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Century Communities' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Century Communities. If investors know Century will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Century Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.154 | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 8.05 | Revenue Per Share 115.674 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 |
The market value of Century Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Century that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Century Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Century Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Century Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Century Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Century Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Century Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Century Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.