China Eastern Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CEA -- USA Stock  

USD 25.37  0.25  1.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Eastern Airlines Corporat which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With China Eastern hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of China Eastern Airlines Corporat from the prospective of China Eastern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on China Eastern over a specific investment horizon. Check also China Eastern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

China Eastern After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

China Eastern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 20, 2019
25.37
Current Value
25.11
After-hype Price
32.07
Upside
China Eastern is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Eastern Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Eastern Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.22% 2.34% 0.01%  0.03% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.3725.110.04%
3,900% 

China Eastern Hype Timeline

On 20 of September China Eastern Airlines is traded for 25.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. China Eastern Airlines Corporat is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 25.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 3900.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on China Eastern is about 1636.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 25.4. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Eastern Airlines last dividend was issued on 2018-06-22. The entity had 2:1 split on 2010-08-10. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also China Eastern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Eastern Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes(0.84) 11 per month 3.35  0.0062  5.53 (6.95)  25.05 
Alaska Air Group(0.69) 9 per month 1.55  0.013  2.62 (2.85)  6.72 
China Eastern Airlines Corporat(0.06) 6 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.66 (5.35)  14.72 
Hawaiian Holdings(0.43) 8 per month 2.79  0.0153  4.43 (4.67)  13.22 
LATAM Airlines Group S A 0.26 8 per month 2.81  0.0009  5.26 (5.31)  14.16 
Southwest Airlines Company 0.64 10 per month 1.13  0.05  2.23 (2.05)  6.01 
American Airlines Group 0.65 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.56 (4.18)  11.19 
Delta Air Lines 0.84 7 per month 1.40  0.037  2.12 (2.74)  6.78 
Copa Holdings S A Copa Holdin 1.15 9 per month 1.85 (0.005)  2.92 (2.65)  16.62 
Avianca Holdings S A(0.09) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0274)  7.10 (4.52)  16.59 
Check also China Eastern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
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