City Holding Stock Price Prediction
CHCO Stock | USD 104.22 0.20 0.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
City Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of City Holding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of City Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of City Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from City Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with City Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting City Holding's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.78 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.37 | Wall Street Target Price 104.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of City Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The City stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on City Holding over a specific investment horizon. Using City Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of City Holding from the perspective of City Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards City Holding using City Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards City using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of City Holding's stock price.
City Holding Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in City Holding's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards City. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of City Holding stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long City Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about City Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge City Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 97.5424 | Short Percent 0.0906 | Short Ratio 15.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 962.7 K | 50 Day MA 102.4142 |
City Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to City Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in City. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding City can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around City Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of City Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about City Holding.
City Holding Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
City Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of City Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if City Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that City Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when City Holding's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in City Holding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in City Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying City because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
City Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 104.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
City |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of City Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
City Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of City Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in City Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of City Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
City Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting City Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on City Holding's historical news coverage. City Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.84 and 105.96, respectively. We have considered City Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
City Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of City Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
City Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as City Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading City Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with City Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.56 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
104.22 | 104.40 | 0.05 |
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City Holding Hype Timeline
City Holding is currently traded for 104.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. City is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 104.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on City Holding is about 3714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 104.22. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of City Holding was currently reported as 45.65. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. City Holding recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.61. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of January 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 30th of October 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out City Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.City Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to City Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict City Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how City Holding rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how City Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | 0.54 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0.04) | 4.04 | (3.79) | 12.36 | |
AX | Axos Financial | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.65 | (2.68) | 6.99 | |
RF-PC | Regions Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.04 | 1.97 | (0.91) | 4.31 | |
RF-PE | Regions Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.04 | 1.85 | (1.74) | 4.69 | |
RF-PB | Regions Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | 0.02 | 1.19 | (0.84) | 2.72 |
City Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine City price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for City using various technical indicators. When you analyze City charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About City Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of City Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as City Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of City Holding based on analysis of City Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to City Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to City Holding's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.75 | 5.62 | 3.05 | Price Earnings Ratio | 14.28 | 13.54 | 18.15 |
Story Coverage note for City Holding
The number of cover stories for City Holding depends on current market conditions and City Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that City Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about City Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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City Holding Short Properties
City Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when City Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of City Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential City Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | -123 M |
Check out City Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in City Stock, please use our How to Invest in City Holding guide.Note that the City Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other City Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for City Stock analysis
When running City Holding's price analysis, check to measure City Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy City Holding is operating at the current time. Most of City Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of City Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move City Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of City Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is City Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of City Holding. If investors know City will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about City Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Dividend Share 2.73 | Earnings Share 7.61 | Revenue Per Share 19.278 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of City Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of City that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of City Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is City Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because City Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect City Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between City Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if City Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, City Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.