Town Sports Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CLUB -- USA Stock  

Quarterly Earning Report: October 24, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Town Sports International Holdi which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Town Sports hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Town Sports International Holdi from the prospective of Town Sports response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Town Sports over a specific investment horizon. Check also Town Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Town Sports After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Town Sports Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 16, 2019
1.91
Current Value
1.95
After-hype Price
20.61
Upside
Town Sports is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Town Sports Internat is based on 3 months time horizon.

Town Sports Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18  6.22% 0.02   0.03  8 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.911.951.04 
6,220

Town Sports Hype Timeline

Town Sports Internat is currently traded for1.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Town Sports International Holdi is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 6220.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 1.04% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Town Sports is about 4319.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.88. The company reported previous year revenue of 458.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 248.62 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check also Town Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Town Sports Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Brunswick Corporation 0.12 10 per month 2.17  0.13  4.37 (4.15)  10.00 
Drive Shack 0.00 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.43 (4.78)  11.93 
Edison Nation(0.31) 8 per month 4.88  0.0218  10.50 (7.98)  33.73 
E-Qure Corp 0.00 8 per month 0.00  0.0088  0.00  0.00  59.68 
Escalade Incorporated 0.17 8 per month 2.11  0.0232  3.68 (2.79)  11.10 
Expedia Group(1.29) 8 per month 1.13  0.047  1.71 (1.94)  5.08 
Funko 0.66 6 per month 0.00 (0.0404)  3.81 (4.00)  18.48 
Ballantyne Strong(0.07) 7 per month 4.04  0.0403  8.11 (5.76)  23.06 
Carnival Corporation(0.71) 6 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.44 (2.79)  12.86 
Dover Motorsports(0.01) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0167)  2.00 (2.06)  6.95 
Check also Town Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Premium Stories module to follow macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
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