Computer Direct (Israel) Price Prediction

CMDR Stock  ILS 27,070  280.00  1.05%   
The value of RSI of Computer Direct's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Computer, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

75

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Computer Direct stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Computer Direct shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Computer Direct's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Computer Direct and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Computer Direct's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Computer Direct, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Computer Direct based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Computer stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Computer Direct over a specific investment horizon. Using Computer Direct hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Computer Direct from the perspective of Computer Direct response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Computer Direct. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Computer Direct to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Computer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Computer Direct after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 26960.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Computer Direct Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Computer Direct's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24,26427,25527,257
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,58323,58623,588
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24,36728,22132,074
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Computer Direct. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Computer Direct's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Computer Direct's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Computer Direct.

Computer Direct After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Computer Direct at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Computer Direct or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Computer Direct, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Computer Direct Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Computer Direct's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Computer Direct's historical news coverage. Computer Direct's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26,958 and 26,962, respectively. We have considered Computer Direct's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27,070
26,958
Downside
26,960
After-hype Price
26,962
Upside
Computer Direct is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Computer Direct is based on 3 months time horizon.

Computer Direct Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Computer Direct is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Computer Direct backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Computer Direct, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27,070
26,960
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Computer Direct Hype Timeline

Computer Direct is currently traded for 27,070on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Computer is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Computer Direct is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27,070. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Computer Direct was currently reported as 70.21. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 18.36. Computer Direct last dividend was issued on the 7th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Computer Direct Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Computer Direct Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Computer Direct's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Computer Direct's future price movements. Getting to know how Computer Direct's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Computer Direct may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Computer Direct Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Computer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Computer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Computer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Computer Direct Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Computer Direct stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Computer Direct, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Computer Direct based on analysis of Computer Direct hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Computer Direct's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Computer Direct's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Computer Direct

The number of cover stories for Computer Direct depends on current market conditions and Computer Direct's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Computer Direct is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Computer Direct's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Computer Direct Short Properties

Computer Direct's future price predictability will typically decrease when Computer Direct's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Computer Direct often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Computer Direct's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Computer Direct's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 M
Check out Computer Direct Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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When running Computer Direct's price analysis, check to measure Computer Direct's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Computer Direct is operating at the current time. Most of Computer Direct's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Computer Direct's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Computer Direct's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Computer Direct to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Computer Direct's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Computer Direct is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Computer Direct's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.