Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Analysis

CMG Stock  USD 2,927  11.76  0.40%   
Chipotle Mexican Grill is overvalued with Real Value of 2741.49 and Target Price of 2163.53. The main objective of Chipotle Mexican stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Chipotle Mexican Grill is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Chipotle Mexican's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Chipotle Mexican's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Chipotle Mexican's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Chipotle Mexican stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Chipotle Mexican is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Chipotle Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Chipotle Mexican's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Chipotle Mexican Grill. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Chipotle Stock Analysis Notes

About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. Chipotle Mexican Grill recorded earning per share (EPS) of 44.31. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. Chipotle Mexican operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 100000 people. For more info on Chipotle Mexican Grill please contact Brian Niccol at 949 524 4000 or go to https://www.chipotle.com.

Chipotle Mexican Quarterly Total Revenue

2.52 Billion

Chipotle Mexican Grill Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Chipotle Mexican's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Chipotle Mexican Grill or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Chipotle Mexican is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: SP 500 futures rise after earnings lift the index to a second winning day Live updates

Chipotle Mexican Grill Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Chipotle Mexican to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Chipotle Mexican previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Chipotle Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Chipotle Mexican's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-07-22
2020-06-300.350.40.0514 
2007-02-15
2006-12-310.280.330.0517 
2006-03-13
2005-12-310.110.160.0545 
View All Earnings Estimates

Chipotle Mexican Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Chipotle Mexican stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Restaurants Idea
Restaurants
Restaurants, Coffee Shops and other eateries
Restaraunts Hotels Motels Idea
Restaraunts Hotels Motels
USA Equities from Restaraunts Hotels Motels industry as classified by Fama & French
SRI Sustainable Growth Idea
SRI Sustainable Growth
Large and mid-sized companies that operate under the guidelines of socially responsible investing - SRI

Chipotle Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Chipotle Mexican is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chipotle Mexican Grill backward and forwards among themselves. Chipotle Mexican's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Chipotle Mexican's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2023-12-31
484.6 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
460.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
430.6 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
412.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
390.3 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
352.2 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
287 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
274.6 K
Hhg Plc2023-12-31
250.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
2.7 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
M
Note, although Chipotle Mexican's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Chipotle Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 79.93 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Chipotle Mexican's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Chipotle Mexican's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Chipotle Profitablity

Chipotle Mexican's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Chipotle Mexican's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Chipotle Mexican is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Chipotle Mexican's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Chipotle Mexican's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Chipotle Mexican's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.12 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.15 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.15 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.40  0.42 

Management Efficiency

Chipotle Mexican Grill has Return on Asset of 0.1333 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1333 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.4526 %, implying that it generated $0.4526 on every 100 dollars invested. Chipotle Mexican's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Chipotle Mexican manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Chipotle Mexican's Return On Equity is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. At this time, Chipotle Mexican's Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Chipotle Mexican's current Total Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 1.7 B, while Other Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 83.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 111.13  116.69 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 110.33  115.85 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 32.80  18.59 
Price Book Value Ratio 20.58  21.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple 32.80  18.59 
Price Fair Value 20.58  21.61 
Enterprise Value7.2 B6.4 B
The analysis of Chipotle Mexican's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Chipotle Mexican's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Chipotle Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.301

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of April, Chipotle Mexican shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1629, mean deviation of 0.9507, and Downside Deviation of 0.8501. Chipotle Mexican Grill technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for Chipotle Mexican Grill, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Chipotle Mexican Grill standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 2926.76 per share. Given that Chipotle Mexican has jensen alpha of 0.2842, we suggest you to validate Chipotle Mexican Grill's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Chipotle Mexican middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Chipotle Mexican Grill. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Chipotle Mexican insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Chipotle Mexican's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Chipotle Mexican insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Chipotle Mexican Predictive Daily Indicators

Chipotle Mexican intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Chipotle Mexican stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Chipotle Mexican Corporate Filings

23rd of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
20th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
16th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
15th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
13th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Chipotle Mexican Forecast Models

Chipotle Mexican's time-series forecasting models are one of many Chipotle Mexican's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Chipotle Mexican's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Chipotle Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Chipotle Mexican prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Chipotle shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Chipotle Mexican. By using and applying Chipotle Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Chipotle entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.13 
Gross Profit Margin 0.26  0.26 

Current Chipotle Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Chipotle analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Chipotle analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2163.53Strong Buy35Odds
Chipotle Mexican Grill current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Chipotle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Chipotle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Chipotle Mexican Grill, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Chipotle conference calls.
Chipotle Analyst Advice Details

Chipotle Stock Analysis Indicators

Chipotle Mexican Grill stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Chipotle Mexican stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Chipotle Mexican shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Chipotle Mexican stock analysis, traders can identify Chipotle Mexican position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow409 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity3.1 B
Tax Provision371.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.273
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
Cash560.6 M
Accounts Payable197.6 M
Net Debt3.5 B
50 Day M A2788.7969
Total Current LiabilitiesB
Other Operating Expenses8.2 B
Non Current Assets Total6.4 B
Forward Price Earnings54.9451
Non Currrent Assets Other-473 K
Stock Based Compensation124 M
When determining whether Chipotle Mexican Grill is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chipotle Mexican's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chipotle Mexican's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chipotle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Chipotle Mexican Grill. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis

When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chipotle Mexican's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chipotle Mexican. If investors know Chipotle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chipotle Mexican listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.273
Earnings Share
44.31
Revenue Per Share
358.253
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.154
Return On Assets
0.1333
The market value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chipotle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chipotle Mexican's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chipotle Mexican's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chipotle Mexican's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chipotle Mexican's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chipotle Mexican's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chipotle Mexican's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.