Compass Minerals International Stock Volatility
| CMP Stock | USD 13.72 0.58 4.06% |
Compass Minerals Int secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the company had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Compass Minerals International exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Compass Minerals' Mean Deviation of 3.33, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Standard Deviation of 4.5 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Compass Minerals' volatility include:
450 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 450 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Compass Minerals Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Compass daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Compass's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Compass Minerals volatility.
Compass |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Compass Minerals can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Compass Minerals at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Compass stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Compass Minerals' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Compass Stock
| 0.62 | VALE | Vale SA ADR Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
Moving against Compass Stock
| 0.88 | LAC | Lithium Americas Corp Financial Report 20th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | NAK | Northern Dynasty Minerals Financial Report 10th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | EMX | EMX Royalty Corp Financial Report 20th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | LZM | Lifezone Metals | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | FURY | Fury Gold Mines Financial Report 9th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Compass Minerals Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Compass Minerals' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Compass stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Compass stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Compass Minerals's beta of 3.74 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Compass Minerals stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Compass Minerals International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.23 and kurtosis of 2.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Compass Minerals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Compass Minerals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Compass Minerals Int Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Compass Minerals correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Compass Beta |
Compass standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.54 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Compass Minerals's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Compass Minerals' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in compass stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Compass Minerals.
Using Compass Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Compass Minerals grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Compass Minerals at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Compass Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Compass Minerals' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Compass Minerals will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Compass Minerals' PUT expiring on 2024-04-19
Profit |
| Compass Minerals Price At Expiration |
Current Compass Minerals Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $17.5 | -0.9231 | 0.0651 | 158 | 2024-04-19 | 3.7 - 4.0 | 3.4 | View |
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $15.0 | -0.9023 | 0.1874 | 447 | 2024-04-19 | 1.25 - 1.45 | 1.32 | View |
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $12.5 | -0.1256 | 0.1785 | 67 | 2024-04-19 | 0.05 - 0.1 | 0.05 | View |
Compass Minerals Int Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Compass Minerals stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Compass Minerals' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Compass Minerals' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Compass Minerals' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Compass Minerals' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Compass Minerals' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Compass Minerals' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Compass Minerals' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Compass Minerals Int Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Compass Minerals Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.7434 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Compass Minerals will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Compass Minerals or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Compass Minerals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Compass stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Compass Minerals International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Compass Minerals Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Compass Minerals Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Compass Minerals is -974.02. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 20.62 and standard deviation of 4.54. The mean deviation of Compass Minerals International is currently at 3.31. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.71 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Compass Minerals Stock Return Volatility
Compass Minerals historical daily return volatility represents how much of Compass Minerals stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise has volatility of 4.5404% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6245% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Compass Minerals Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Compass Minerals or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Compass Minerals may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Compass's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Compass Minerals and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Compass Minerals fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 918.8 M | 556.9 M |
Compass Minerals' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Compass Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Compass Minerals' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Compass Minerals' volatility to invest better
Higher Compass Minerals' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Compass Minerals Int stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Compass Minerals Int stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Compass Minerals Int investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Compass Minerals' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Compass Minerals' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Compass Minerals Investment Opportunity
Compass Minerals International has a volatility of 4.54 and is 7.32 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 40 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Compass Minerals. You can use Compass Minerals International to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Compass Minerals to be traded at $13.03 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Compass Minerals International and NYA is 0.52 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Compass Minerals International and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Compass Minerals Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Compass Minerals' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compass Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Compass Minerals stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (894.22) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.5 | |||
| Variance | 20.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Compass Minerals Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Compass Minerals as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Compass Minerals' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Compass Minerals' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Compass Minerals International.
When determining whether Compass Minerals Int is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Compass Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Compass Minerals International Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Compass Minerals International Stock: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Compass Minerals International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Compass Stock analysis
When running Compass Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Compass Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compass Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Compass Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compass Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compass Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compass Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Compass Minerals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Compass Minerals. If investors know Compass will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Compass Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Dividend Share 2.88 | Earnings Share (1.45) | Revenue Per Share 44.542 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
The market value of Compass Minerals Int is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Compass that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Compass Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Compass Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Compass Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Compass Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Compass Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Compass Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Compass Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.