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American Funds Price Prediction Breakdown

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CPGAX -- USA Fund  

USD 16.85  0.38  2.31%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Funds Global Growth Po, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using American Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Funds Global Growth Po from the perspective of American Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The American price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Funds over a specific investment horizon. Continue to American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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American Funds After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

American Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
16.85
February 26, 2020
16.47
After-hype Price
19.92
Upside
American Funds is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Funds Global is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Funds Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12  1.15  0.00   0.01  0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.8516.470.00 
0.00  

American Funds Hype Timeline

American Funds Global is currently traded for16.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. American Funds Global Growth Po is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Funds is about 1321.84%%. The volatility of related hype on American Funds is about 1321.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.86. The company last dividend was issued on 12/27/2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Continue to American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
New Perspective Fund Class F 1 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0191  1.28 (1.90)  9.99 
Templeton Growth Fund Inc A(0.18) 1 per month 0.00 (0.1)  0.90 (1.34)  6.66 
American Funds Global Growth Po 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01)  1.02 (1.49)  9.33 
Morgan Stanley Insti Fd Global(0.20) 1 per month 1.37  0.09  1.55 (1.58)  8.34 
USAA Mutual Fds Tr World Growth 0.00 0 per month 9.81  0.0174  1.02 (1.79)  67.80 
Thornburg Global Opportunities 0.00 0 per month 1.11  0.07  1.26 (1.29)  3.96 
Thornburg Global Opportunities 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.06  1.10 (1.42)  3.09 
Thornburg Global Opportunities 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.07  1.25 (1.42)  3.13 
AB Sustainable Global Thematic 1.25 9 per month 1.04  0.10  0.97 (1.53)  4.16 
Putnam Global Equity Fund Class B 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0156  0.91 (0.74)  7.70 
Continue to American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
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