Salesforce Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CRM -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: December 3, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Salesforce Com which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Salesforce hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Salesforce Com from the prospective of Salesforce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Salesforce over a specific investment horizon. Check also Salesforce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Salesforce After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Salesforce Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 15, 2019
162.96
Current Value
159.14
Downside
163.43
After-hype Price
167.72
Upside
Salesforce is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Salesforce Com is based on 3 months time horizon.

Salesforce Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21  1.43% 0.53   0.19  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
162.96163.430.33 
56.30

Salesforce Hype Timeline

On 15 of November Salesforce Com is traded for 162.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Salesforce Com is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 163.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 56.3%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.33% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Salesforce is about 160.13% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 162.77. The company reported last year revenue of 14.73 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 950 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.83 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check also Salesforce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Salesforce Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CA 0.00 0 per month 0.50 (0.25)  0.48 (0.43)  3.11 
Workday(3.40) 7 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.79 (3.98)  18.87 
Salesforce Com 2.54 10 per month 1.23  0.08  2.36 (2.14)  6.74 
Computer Sciences Corp 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Xunlei Limited American Depos(0.01) 2 per month 3.94  0.15  14.94 (6.87)  124.07 
Teradata Corporation 0.50 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.56 (3.14)  22.30 
Unisys Corporation New 0.26 9 per month 2.69  0.08  6.55 (4.51)  22.45 
Vmware 0.02 9 per month 2.61  0.0065  3.15 (3.88)  12.48 
Alphabet(8.46) 9 per month 0.92  0.0471  1.97 (1.66)  4.99 
Sabre Corporation(0.38) 11 per month 0.00 (0.18)  1.76 (2.80)  9.64 

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Check also Salesforce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
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