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Salesforce Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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CRM -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: February 25, 2020  

Salesforce Operating Margin is considerably stable at the moment as compared to the last year. The stock current value of Operating Margin is estimated at about 14.01. Return on Investment is projected to rize to 4.44 this year, although the value of Accounts Payable Turnover will most likelly fall to 92.46. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Salesforce Com which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Salesforce hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Salesforce Com from the prospective of Salesforce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Salesforce over a specific investment horizon. Continue to Salesforce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Salesforce After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Salesforce Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
189.95
February 19, 2020
186.90
Downside
190.53
After-hype Price
194.16
Upside
Salesforce is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Salesforce Com is based on 3 months time horizon.

Salesforce Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.27  1.21  0.60   0.27  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
189.95190.530.29 
54.26  

Salesforce Hype Timeline

On the 19th of February Salesforce Com is traded for 189.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.6 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Salesforce Com is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 190.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 54.26%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.29% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Salesforce is about 121.24% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 189.68. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 136.67. Salesforce Com had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 4:1 split on 2013-04-18. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Continue to Salesforce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Salesforce Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Alphabet(4.60) 9 per month 0.62  0.15  1.99 (1.34)  6.22 
Sabre Corporation(0.05) 10 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.85 (1.98)  6.02 
Workday 2.06 10 per month 1.63  0.11  3.26 (3.19)  8.07 
Unisys Corporation New(0.16) 9 per month 2.00  0.12  4.44 (3.65)  47.83 
Salesforce Com(2.23) 9 per month 0.74  0.13  2.03 (1.51)  6.19 
Computer Sciences Corp 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CA 0.00 0 per month 0.50 (0.14)  0.48 (0.43)  3.11 
Teradata Corporation(1.76) 10 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.09 (3.36)  13.68 
Xunlei Limited American Depos 0.11 1 per month 0.00 (0.09)  6.77 (5.22)  22.78 
Vmware(3.35) 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.87 (2.89)  7.04 

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Continue to Salesforce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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