Cirrus Logic Stock Price Prediction
| CRUS Stock | USD 83.25 2.00 2.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Cirrus Logic stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cirrus Logic shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cirrus Logic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cirrus Logic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cirrus Logic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cirrus Logic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cirrus Logic's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.366 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.72 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.22 | Wall Street Target Price 97.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cirrus Logic based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cirrus stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cirrus Logic over a specific investment horizon. Using Cirrus Logic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cirrus Logic from the perspective of Cirrus Logic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cirrus Logic using Cirrus Logic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cirrus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cirrus Logic's stock price.
Cirrus Logic Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cirrus Logic's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cirrus. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cirrus Logic stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Cirrus Logic may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cirrus Logic and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cirrus Logic with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.3664 | Short Percent 0.0183 | Short Ratio 1.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 816.5 K | 50 Day MA 90.4662 |
Cirrus Logic Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cirrus Logic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cirrus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cirrus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cirrus Logic. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cirrus Logic's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cirrus Logic.
Cirrus Logic Implied Volatility | 61.47 |
Cirrus Logic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cirrus Logic stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cirrus Logic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cirrus Logic stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cirrus Logic's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cirrus Logic. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cirrus Logic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cirrus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cirrus Logic after-hype prediction price | USD 83.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cirrus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cirrus Logic will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.84% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Cirrus Logic trading at USD 83.25, that is roughly USD 3.2 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cirrus Logic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cirrus Logic options at the current volatility level of 61.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Cirrus |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cirrus Logic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cirrus Logic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cirrus Logic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cirrus Logic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cirrus Logic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cirrus Logic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cirrus Logic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cirrus Logic's historical news coverage. Cirrus Logic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.70 and 85.70, respectively. We have considered Cirrus Logic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cirrus Logic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cirrus Logic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cirrus Logic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cirrus Logic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cirrus Logic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cirrus Logic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.50 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
83.25 | 83.20 | 0.06 |
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Cirrus Logic Hype Timeline
Cirrus Logic is currently traded for 83.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cirrus is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 83.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Cirrus Logic is about 7812.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.25. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cirrus Logic was currently reported as 33.39. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Cirrus Logic had 2:1 split on the . Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Cirrus Logic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cirrus Logic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cirrus Logic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cirrus Logic's future price movements. Getting to know how Cirrus Logic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cirrus Logic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions | (1.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.16 | (2.59) | 8.02 | |
| QRVO | Qorvo Inc | (1.56) | 11 per month | 1.93 | 0.02 | 3.61 | (3.32) | 11.79 | |
| ADI | Analog Devices | (0.34) | 12 per month | 1.68 | (0.03) | 2.45 | (2.50) | 7.59 | |
| LSCC | Lattice Semiconductor | 1.42 | 9 per month | 2.75 | 0.01 | 4.49 | (4.05) | 12.92 | |
| MCHP | Microchip Technology | 1.41 | 10 per month | 2.04 | (0.03) | 3.40 | (3.90) | 11.12 |
Cirrus Logic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cirrus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cirrus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cirrus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cirrus Logic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cirrus Logic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cirrus Logic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cirrus Logic based on analysis of Cirrus Logic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cirrus Logic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cirrus Logic's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0109 | 0.0103 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.68 | 2.95 |
Story Coverage note for Cirrus Logic
The number of cover stories for Cirrus Logic depends on current market conditions and Cirrus Logic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cirrus Logic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cirrus Logic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cirrus Logic Short Properties
Cirrus Logic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cirrus Logic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cirrus Logic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cirrus Logic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cirrus Logic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 480.8 M |
Check out Cirrus Logic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Cirrus Stock please use our How to Invest in Cirrus Logic guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Cirrus Stock analysis
When running Cirrus Logic's price analysis, check to measure Cirrus Logic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cirrus Logic is operating at the current time. Most of Cirrus Logic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cirrus Logic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cirrus Logic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cirrus Logic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cirrus Logic's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cirrus Logic. If investors know Cirrus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cirrus Logic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.366 | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share 32.758 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.048 | Return On Assets 0.0931 |
The market value of Cirrus Logic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cirrus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cirrus Logic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cirrus Logic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cirrus Logic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cirrus Logic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cirrus Logic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cirrus Logic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cirrus Logic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.