Country Garden Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| CTRYF Stock | USD 0.10 0.07 41.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
79
Oversold | Overbought |
Country Garden Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Country Garden shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Country Garden's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Country Garden and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Country Garden's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Country Garden Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Country Garden based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Country stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Country Garden over a specific investment horizon. Using Country Garden hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Country Garden Holdings from the perspective of Country Garden response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Country Garden. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Country Garden to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Country because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Country Garden after-hype prediction price | USD 0.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Country |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Country Garden's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Country Garden After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Country Garden at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Country Garden or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Country Garden, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Country Garden Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Country Garden's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Country Garden's historical news coverage. Country Garden's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 17.61, respectively. We have considered Country Garden's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Country Garden is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Country Garden Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Country Garden Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Country Garden is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Country Garden backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Country Garden, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.67 | 17.51 | 0.00 | 0.56 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
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Country Garden Hype Timeline
Country Garden Holdings is currently traded for 0.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.56. Country is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Country Garden is about 5226.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.66. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Country Garden Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of June 2022. The firm had 1014:1000 split on the 15th of September 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Country Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Country Garden Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Country Garden's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Country Garden's future price movements. Getting to know how Country Garden's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Country Garden may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSEA | Landsea Homes Corp | 0.67 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.53 | (5.16) | 24.27 | |
| ARL | American Realty Investors | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.18 | (5.28) | 13.93 |
Country Garden Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Country price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Country using various technical indicators. When you analyze Country charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Country Garden Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Country Garden stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Country Garden Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Country Garden based on analysis of Country Garden hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Country Garden's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Country Garden's related companies. Story Coverage note for Country Garden
The number of cover stories for Country Garden depends on current market conditions and Country Garden's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Country Garden is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Country Garden's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Country Garden Short Properties
Country Garden's future price predictability will typically decrease when Country Garden's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Country Garden Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Country Garden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Country Garden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.9 B |
Check out Country Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Country Pink Sheet analysis
When running Country Garden's price analysis, check to measure Country Garden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Country Garden is operating at the current time. Most of Country Garden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Country Garden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Country Garden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Country Garden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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