Cvb Financial Stock Price Prediction

CVBF Stock  USD 17.84  0.14  0.79%   
As of 28th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of CVB Financial's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CVB Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
CVB Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CVB Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CVB Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CVB Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CVB Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVB Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CVB Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.38
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.46
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.56
Wall Street Target Price
20.58
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CVB Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CVB stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVB Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using CVB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVB Financial from the perspective of CVB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CVB Financial using CVB Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CVB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CVB Financial's stock price.

CVB Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CVB Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CVB. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CVB Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long CVB Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CVB Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge CVB Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
17.2087
Short Percent
0.065
Short Ratio
5.94
Shares Short Prior Month
6.3 M
50 Day MA
17.4526

CVB Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CVB Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CVB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CVB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CVB Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CVB Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CVB Financial.

CVB Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
CVB Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CVB Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CVB Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CVB Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CVB Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CVB Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CVB Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CVB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CVB Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9419.1721.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5617.7920.02
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.5020.3322.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.320.350.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CVB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CVB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CVB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CVB Financial.

CVB Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CVB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CVB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CVB Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVB Financial's historical news coverage. CVB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.72 and 20.18, respectively. We have considered CVB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.84
17.95
After-hype Price
20.18
Upside
CVB Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVB Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

CVB Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CVB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.23
  0.15 
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.84
17.95
0.84 
237.23  
Notes

CVB Financial Hype Timeline

CVB Financial is currently traded for 17.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CVB is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.84%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on CVB Financial is about 5309.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.85. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 666.28 M. Net Income was 219.89 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 541.3 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out CVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.

CVB Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CVB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CVB Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CVB Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CVB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CVB Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CVB Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CVB Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CVB Financial based on analysis of CVB Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CVB Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CVB Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio13.6214.7912.6112.86
Short Term Coverage Ratios85.590.280.130.12

Story Coverage note for CVB Financial

The number of cover stories for CVB Financial depends on current market conditions and CVB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CVB Financial Short Properties

CVB Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CVB Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVB Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-171.4 M
When determining whether CVB Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze CVB Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CVB Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CVB Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.
Note that the CVB Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CVB Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Is CVB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVB Financial. If investors know CVB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
1.59
Revenue Per Share
3.935
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of CVB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.