CVS Health Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVS -- USA Stock  

USD 74.09  0.75  1.02%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CVS Health hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CVS Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 11, 2018
74.09
Current Value
73.39
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
81.82
Upside
CVS Health is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 2 months time horizon.

CVS Health Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 2.29% 0.35%  0.06% 8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
74.0973.390.07%
151.66% 

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On 11 of December CVS Health Corporation is traded for 74.09. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.35 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. CVS Health Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 73.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 151.66%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.07% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 845.02% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 74.03. The company reported last year revenue of 188.05B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.1B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 28.55B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Cigna Corporation(4.65) 8 per month 0.00  0.0477  2.82 (3.11)  8.00 
Express Scripts Holding Company 1.49 5 per month 0.00  0.11  2.39 (1.76)  6.57 
Centene Corporation 2.70 10 per month 0.00  0.0058  3.51 (3.60)  13.97 
CVS Health Corporation 1.51 8 per month 0.00  0.0201  3.54 (3.86)  12.90 
Humana(1.70) 5 per month 0.00 (0.008)  3.58 (3.25)  10.77 
Molina Healthcare 4.59 8 per month 0.00  0.0102  4.40 (5.51)  16.76 
Health Insurance Innovations 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.18)  7.49 (8.59)  24.28 
Magellan Health(1.69) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.09 (4.93)  14.93 
Anthem(2.40) 8 per month 0.00  0.08  3.80 (2.39)  8.99 
The Travelers Companies(2.58) 8 per month 0.00  0.0083  2.53 (2.97)  5.95 

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