CVS Health Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVS -- USA Stock  

Quarterly Earning Report: November 6, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CVS Health hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CVS Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 16, 2019
65.64
Current Value
64.68
After-hype Price
69.45
Upside
CVS Health is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

CVS Health Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.26  1.60% 0.16   0.20  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.6464.680.23 
258.06

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On 16 of October CVS Health is traded for 65.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. CVS Health Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 64.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 258.06%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.23% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 209.06% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 65.44. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CVS Health has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.68. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-07-24. The firm had 2:1 split on 2005-06-07. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Cigna Corporation(1.13) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0484)  3.42 (4.04)  12.43 
Centene Corporation 0.20 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.47 (3.92)  8.54 
CVS Health Corporation(0.62) 8 per month 1.19  0.14  2.33 (2.16)  10.37 
Humana(4.18) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0097)  2.90 (2.81)  10.09 
Molina Healthcare 1.95 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.82 (3.53)  8.65 
Health Insurance Innovations I 0.58 10 per month 3.77  0.09  7.85 (6.00)  18.78 
Magellan Health 0.47 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.80 (3.25)  8.95 
Anthem(3.69) 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  2.17 (2.55)  7.50 
COMPREHENSIVE CARE CORP 0.01683 11 per month 8.48  0.0409  17.39 (12.00)  61.41 
Alphabet(1.25) 10 per month 1.27  0.08  2.28 (2.36)  13.94 
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
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