Chevron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVX -- USA Stock  

USD 122.59  2.70  2.15%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Chevron headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chevron Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Chevron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Chevron Corporation from the prospective of Chevron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chevron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Chevron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

Chevron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 21, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Chevron is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chevron is based on 1 month time horizon.

Chevron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.19% 1.50% 0.05%  0.05% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Chevron Hype Timeline

On 21 of June Chevron Corporation is traded for 122.59. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Chevron Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 122.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 576.92%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Chevron is about 572.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 122.54. The company reported last year revenue of 133.61 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 10.15 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 39.47 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chevron Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
SM Energy Company(0.98) 6 per month 0.00 (0.09)  5.22 (7.93)  16.71 
Apache Corporation(0.94) 6 per month 2.79  0.06  5.59 (4.13)  9.71 
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation(2.16) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0289)  3.17 (2.41)  8.33 
Chesapeake Energy Corporation 0.01 5 per month 2.38  0.12  5.37 (4.64)  10.01 
Cabot Oil Gas Corporation(0.37) 6 per month 1.24  0.20  1.91 (2.44)  5.89 
ConocoPhillips(0.64) 4 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.36 (4.07)  7.63 
Chevron Corporation 0.26 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.90 (2.15)  5.06 
Concho Resources 2.22 4 per month 0.00 (0.30)  2.88 (5.28)  8.78 
Denbury Resources(0.07) 7 per month 3.95  0.008  5.93 (7.02)  11.84 
Devon Energy Corporation 0.05 6 per month 1.98  0.05  2.54 (3.16)  9.07 

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Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Bollinger Bands module to use bollinger bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.