Chevron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVX -- USA Stock  

USD 125.28  0.58  0.46%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chevron Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Chevron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Chevron Corporation from the prospective of Chevron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chevron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Chevron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Chevron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

March 22, 2019
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
Chevron is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chevron is based on 2 months time horizon.

Chevron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.28% 0.96% 0.25%  0.05% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Chevron Hype Timeline

On 22 of March Chevron is traded for 125.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Chevron Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 125.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 107.87%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Chevron is about 581.43% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 125.23. The company reported last year revenue of 158.9B. Total Income to common stockholders was 14.82B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.32B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chevron Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Eni S p A(0.07) 4 per month 0.58  0.06  2.12 (1.30)  4.52 
Adams Resources Energy(0.0111) 8 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.92 (2.75)  6.91 
BP plc(0.05) 9 per month 0.26  0.07  1.59 (0.96)  4.41 
Ecopetrol S A(0.05) 7 per month 1.21  0.15  3.31 (2.22)  7.65 
Equinor ASA(0.09) 7 per month 1.03 (0.1)  2.04 (2.03)  4.48 
Cenovus Energy(0.08) 8 per month 2.12  0.044  4.24 (3.19)  11.55 
Chevron Corporation(0.89) 7 per month 0.45  0.09  2.05 (1.29)  4.78 
Imperial Oil Limited(0.16) 7 per month 1.31 (0.12)  2.06 (1.52)  7.22 
Petrleo Brasileiro S A Petrobras(0.31) 10 per month 1.72  0.07  3.18 (2.47)  8.96 
ATT 0.06 8 per month 1.32 (0.14)  1.36 (1.30)  5.38 

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Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.