Chevron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVX -- USA Stock  

Quarterly Earning Report: November 1, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chevron Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Chevron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Chevron Corporation from the prospective of Chevron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chevron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Chevron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Chevron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 15, 2019
116.31
Current Value
112.62
Downside
116.34
After-hype Price
120.06
Upside
Chevron is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chevron is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chevron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08  1.24% 0.03   0.01  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
116.31116.340.03 
387.50

Chevron Hype Timeline

On 15 of October Chevron is traded for 116.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Chevron Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 116.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 387.5%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.03% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Chevron is about 953.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 116.32. The company reported last year revenue of 152.95 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 14.73 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.32 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chevron Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ENI SpA(0.11) 7 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.28 (2.08)  4.28 
Adams Resources Energy 0.60 6 per month 0.00 (0.0098)  3.01 (3.12)  9.29 
BP plc 0.29 10 per month 0.00 (0.05)  1.62 (2.13)  6.85 
Ecopetrol S A 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.61 (2.45)  8.47 
Equinor ASA 0.07 10 per month 0.00 (0.0407)  3.07 (3.02)  10.33 
Cenovus Energy(0.12) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0425)  4.47 (4.30)  17.65 
Chevron Corporation 0.32 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.51 (2.18)  7.27 
Imperial Oil Limited 0.26 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.10 (3.14)  6.26 
Petroleo Brasileiro S A Petro 0.06 11 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.10 (3.51)  10.21 
Verizon Communications(0.13) 8 per month 0.87  0.11  1.41 (1.51)  3.68 
Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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