MFS Diversified Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DIFDX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.04  0.02  0.15%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Diversified Income Fund Cla which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Diversified hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Diversified Income Fund Cla from the prospective of MFS Diversified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Diversified over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see MFS Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Diversified After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MFS Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 14, 2019
13.04
Current Value
13.04
After-hype Price
13.94
Upside
MFS Diversified is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Diversified Income is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFS Diversified Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03  0.30% 0.00   0.00  12 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.0413.040.00 
750.00

MFS Diversified Hype Timeline

MFS Diversified Income is currently traded for13.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MFS Diversified Income Fund Cla is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 750.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MFS Diversified is about 2722.32%%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Diversified is about 2722.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.04. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. MFS Diversified Income last dividend was issued on Augustust 30, 2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days.
Additionally see MFS Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Diversified Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Franklin Income Fund Class C 0.01 3 per month 0.00  0.0083  0.44 (0.87)  2.20 
Franklin Income Fund Cl R6(0.0202) 1 per month 0.00  0.0108  0.45 (0.90)  2.23 
Franklin Income Fund Advisor Cl 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0028)  0.88 (1.31)  2.23 
Franklin Income Fund Class A1(0.01) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0028)  0.45 (1.30)  2.21 
Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund 0.03 2 per month 0.55  0.06  0.45 (0.59)  3.02 
BlackRock Funds II BlackRock M(0.02) 9 per month 0.22  0.05  0.37 (0.37)  1.04 
BlackRock Funds II BlackRock M(0.02) 10 per month 0.22  0.06  0.28 (0.46)  1.19 
BlackRock Funds II BlackRock M(0.07) 1 per month 0.00  0.0432  0.37 (0.37)  1.21 
JPMorgan Income Builder Fund Cl 0.01 9 per month 0.05  0.18  0.38 (0.28)  1.32 
JPMorgan Income Builder Fund(0.02) 10 per month 0.25  0.08  0.38 (0.38)  1.42 
Additionally see MFS Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all macroaxis ideas. macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
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