MFS Diversified Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DIFHX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.06  0.01  0.08%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Diversified Income Fd Cl R5 which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Diversified hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Diversified Income Fd Cl R5 from the prospective of MFS Diversified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Diversified over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see MFS Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Diversified After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MFS Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 12, 2019
Current Value
After-hype Price
MFS Diversified is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Diversified Income is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFS Diversified Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04  0.31% 0.00   0.00  8 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

MFS Diversified Hype Timeline

MFS Diversified Income is currently traded for13.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MFS Diversified Income Fd Cl R5 is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 3100.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MFS Diversified is about 5166.67%%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Diversified is about 5166.67% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.06. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. MFS Diversified Income last dividend was issued on Octoberober 31, 2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally see MFS Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Diversified Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Franklin Income Fund Advisor Cl 0.00 0 per month 0.44 (0.14)  0.45 (0.88)  2.22 
Franklin Income Fund Class A1(0.01) 1 per month 0.45 (0.14)  0.44 (0.87)  2.19 
BlackRock Multi Asset Income Po 0.01 8 per month 0.22 (0.36)  0.28 (0.37)  1.10 
JPMorgan Income Builder Fund Cl 0.03 7 per month 0.11 (0.47)  0.28 (0.28)  0.85 
Hartford Balanced Income Fund C 0.00 7 per month 0.36 (0.16)  0.41 (0.62)  1.45 
The Hartford Balanced Income Fu 0.01 11 per month 0.35 (0.16)  0.41 (0.62)  1.71 
The Hartford Balanced Income Fu 0.02 1 per month 0.32 (0.16)  0.41 (0.61)  1.50 
The Hartford Balanced Income Fu 0.01 10 per month 0.32 (0.17)  0.41 (0.67)  1.44 
The Hartford Balanced Income Fu 0.03 8 per month 0.39 (0.15)  0.54 (0.68)  1.44 
Vanguard Lifestrategy Fund Cons(0.04) 2 per month 0.28 (0.19)  0.44 (0.54)  1.23 
Additionally see MFS Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.