Dine Brands Global Stock Price Prediction
| DIN Stock | USD 45.15 0.93 2.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Dine Brands Global stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Dine Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Dine Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dine Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dine Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dine Brands Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dine Brands' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.978 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.5 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.84 | Wall Street Target Price 58.63 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Dine Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Dine stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Dine Brands over a specific investment horizon. Using Dine Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dine Brands Global from the perspective of Dine Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dine Brands using Dine Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dine Brands' stock price.
Dine Brands Implied Volatility | 50.24 |
Dine Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dine Brands Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dine Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dine Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dine Brands' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Dine Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dine Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dine because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dine Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 45.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dine Brands Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.14% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Dine Brands trading at USD 45.15, that is roughly USD 1.42 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dine Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dine Brands Global options at the current volatility level of 50.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Dine |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dine Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dine Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dine Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dine Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dine Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dine Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dine Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dine Brands' historical news coverage. Dine Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.18 and 47.12, respectively. We have considered Dine Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dine Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dine Brands Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dine Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dine Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dine Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dine Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.15 | 45.15 | 0.00 |
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Dine Brands Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Dine Brands Global is traded for 45.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dine is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dine Brands is about 4259.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.15. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.55. Dine Brands Global recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of May 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Dine Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dine Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dine Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dine Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Dine Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dine Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | (0.87) | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.01 | 2.97 | (3.51) | 8.47 | |
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | 1.82 | 11 per month | 2.38 | (0.02) | 4.22 | (3.89) | 12.17 | |
| RUTH | Ruths Hospitality Group | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.08 | 1.75 | (2.63) | 34.37 | |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | 0.26 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.01 | 3.99 | (2.81) | 11.03 | |
| EAT | Brinker International | (0.93) | 10 per month | 1.82 | 0.08 | 3.41 | (3.02) | 13.65 | |
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.58 | (2.93) | 8.75 | |
| FRGI | Fiesta Restaurant Group | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.60 | (0.35) | 7.09 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.62 | (3.22) | 7.95 |
Dine Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dine Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dine Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dine Brands Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dine Brands based on analysis of Dine Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dine Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dine Brands's related companies. | 2020 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0254 | 0.03 | 0.0459 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.74 |
Story Coverage note for Dine Brands
The number of cover stories for Dine Brands depends on current market conditions and Dine Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dine Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dine Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dine Brands Short Properties
Dine Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dine Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dine Brands Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dine Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dine Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 181.1 M |
Check out Dine Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Dine Stock analysis
When running Dine Brands' price analysis, check to measure Dine Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dine Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Dine Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dine Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dine Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dine Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dine Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dine Brands. If investors know Dine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dine Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.978 | Dividend Share 2.04 | Earnings Share 6.22 | Revenue Per Share 54.557 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Dine Brands Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dine Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dine Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dine Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dine Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dine Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dine Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dine Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.