Delek Energy Stock Price Prediction
| DK Stock | USD 30.95 0.68 2.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Delek Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Delek Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Delek Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Delek Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Delek Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Delek Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Delek Energy's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 18.7 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.78 | Wall Street Target Price 31 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Delek Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Delek stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Delek Energy over a specific investment horizon. Using Delek Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delek Energy from the perspective of Delek Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Delek Energy using Delek Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Delek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Delek Energy's stock price.
Delek Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Delek Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Delek. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Delek Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Delek Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Delek Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Delek Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 27.0758 | Short Percent 0.1563 | Short Ratio 6.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 28.7352 |
Delek Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Delek Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Delek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Delek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Delek Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Delek Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Delek Energy.
Delek Energy Implied Volatility | 57.12 |
Delek Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Delek Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Delek Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Delek Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Delek Energy's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Delek Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Delek Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Delek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Delek Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 31.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Delek contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Delek Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.57% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Delek Energy trading at USD 30.95, that is roughly USD 1.1 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Delek Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Delek Energy options at the current volatility level of 57.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Delek |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delek Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delek Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Delek Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delek Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delek Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Delek Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Delek Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delek Energy's historical news coverage. Delek Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.53 and 34.33, respectively. We have considered Delek Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Delek Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delek Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Delek Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delek Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delek Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delek Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.39 | 0.96 | 0.25 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.95 | 31.93 | 3.17 |
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Delek Energy Hype Timeline
As of April 16, 2024 Delek Energy is listed for 30.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.96, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Delek is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 112.21%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 3.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Delek Energy is about 423.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.70. The company reports 2.77 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.44, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Delek Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Delek Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Delek Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delek Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Delek Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delek Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.93 | (2.42) | 15.58 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | (1.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.77 | (2.94) | 7.02 |
Delek Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Delek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Delek Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Delek Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Delek Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Delek Energy based on analysis of Delek Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Delek Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Delek Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003787 | 0.0224 | 0.0357 | 0.021 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.1 | 0.0944 | 0.0997 | 0.0948 |
Story Coverage note for Delek Energy
The number of cover stories for Delek Energy depends on current market conditions and Delek Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delek Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delek Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Delek Energy Short Properties
Delek Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Delek Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Delek Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Delek Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 822.2 M |
Check out Delek Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Delek Stock please use our How to buy in Delek Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Delek Stock analysis
When running Delek Energy's price analysis, check to measure Delek Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Delek Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Delek Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek Energy. If investors know Delek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delek Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 18.7 | Dividend Share 0.925 | Earnings Share 0.3 | Revenue Per Share 258.652 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) |
The market value of Delek Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delek Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delek Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delek Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delek Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.