Delek Group (Israel) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DLEKG -- Israel Stock  

ILS 64,470  1,670  2.66%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Delek Group Ltd which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Delek Group hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Delek Group Ltd from the prospective of Delek Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Delek Group over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Delek Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Delek Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Delek Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 17, 2018
64,470
Current Value
Downside
63,999
64,005
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
70,917
Upside
Delek Group is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delek Group Ltd is based on 1 month time horizon.

Delek Group Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.50% 2.08% 465.00%  16.85% 5 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64,47064,0050.72%
0.22% 

Delek Group Hype Timeline

Delek Group Ltd is currently traded for 64,470on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. This company has historical hype elasticity of -465.0 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 16.85. Delek Group Ltd is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 64005.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 0.22%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.72% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Delek Group is about 6.17% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 64486.85. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 473.66. Delek Group Ltd recorded earning per share (EPS) of 109.36. This company last dividend was issued on Octoberober 2, 2018. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally see Delek Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Delek Group Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Bezeq The Israel Telecommunication Corporation Limited(5.00) 1 per month 0.00  0.0246  2.39 (2.40)  11.29 
Oil Refineries Ltd 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.20)  0.98 (1.72)  2.74 
Perrigo Company plc(190.00) 1 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.18 (2.43)  10.37 
Bank Leumi le Israel B M 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.035  0.67 (1.42)  2.90 
Israel Chemicals Ltd 6.00 1 per month 0.89  0.27  3.78 (1.84)  6.49 
NICE Ltd 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.13 (2.90)  7.15 
Azrieli Group Ltd 600.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.83 (1.88)  4.65 
Elbit Systems Ltd(130.00) 3 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.18 (3.41)  8.84 
Mizrahi Tefahot Bank Ltd 52.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.11)  0.61 (1.50)  3.44 
Israel Discount Bank Limited 4.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.0328)  2.06 (1.56)  6.86 

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Additionally see Delek Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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