Correlation Between Dollar Tree and Big Lots

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Dollar Tree and Big Lots at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Dollar Tree and Big Lots into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Dollar Tree and Big Lots, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Dollar Tree and Big Lots and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Dollar Tree with a short position of Big Lots. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Dollar Tree and Big Lots.

Diversification Opportunities for Dollar Tree and Big Lots

0.34
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Dollar and Big is 0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Dollar Tree and Big Lots in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Big Lots and Dollar Tree is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Dollar Tree are associated (or correlated) with Big Lots. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Big Lots has no effect on the direction of Dollar Tree i.e., Dollar Tree and Big Lots go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Dollar Tree and Big Lots

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dollar Tree is expected to generate 0.36 times more return on investment than Big Lots. However, Dollar Tree is 2.82 times less risky than Big Lots. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Big Lots is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  16,484  in Dollar Tree on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (4,245) from holding Dollar Tree or give up 25.75% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Dollar Tree  vs.  Big Lots

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Dollar Tree 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Dollar Tree has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Dollar Tree is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Big Lots 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Big Lots has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Dollar Tree and Big Lots Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Dollar Tree and Big Lots

The main advantage of trading using opposite Dollar Tree and Big Lots positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Dollar Tree position performs unexpectedly, Big Lots can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Big Lots will offset losses from the drop in Big Lots' long position.
The idea behind Dollar Tree and Big Lots pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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