Dreyfus New Jersey Fund Volatility
| DRNJX Fund | USD 11.67 0.01 0.09% |
Dreyfus New Jersey secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0137, which denotes the fund had a -0.0137% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Dreyfus New Jersey exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dreyfus New's Standard Deviation of 0.1872, mean deviation of 0.123, and Coefficient Of Variation of (3,738) to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Dreyfus New's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Dreyfus New Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Dreyfus daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Dreyfus's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Dreyfus New volatility.
Dreyfus |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Dreyfus New can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Dreyfus New at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Dreyfus stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Dreyfus New's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Dreyfus Mutual Fund
| 0.74 | DHGCX | Dreyfusstandish Global | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | DHGAX | Dreyfusstandish Global | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | DHMBX | Dreyfus High Yield | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | DHYCX | Dreyfus High Yield | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | DHYAX | Dreyfus High Yield | PairCorr |
| 0.99 | DZNJX | Dreyfus New Jersey | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | DIBAX | Dreyfus International | PairCorr |
Dreyfus New Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Dreyfus New's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Dreyfus mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Dreyfus mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Dreyfus New's beta of 0.0049 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Dreyfus New mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Dreyfus New Jersey exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of 2.55. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dreyfus New's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dreyfus New's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Dreyfus New Jersey Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Dreyfus New correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Dreyfus Beta |
Dreyfus standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.19 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Dreyfus New's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Dreyfus New's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in dreyfus mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Dreyfus New.
Dreyfus New Jersey Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Dreyfus New fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Dreyfus New's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Dreyfus New's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Dreyfus New's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Dreyfus New's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Dreyfus New's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Dreyfus New's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Dreyfus New's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Dreyfus New Jersey Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Dreyfus New Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus New has a beta of 0.0049 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dreyfus New average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dreyfus New Jersey will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dreyfus New or BNY Mellon sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dreyfus New's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dreyfus fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Dreyfus New Jersey has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Dreyfus New Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Dreyfus New Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Dreyfus New is -7300.76. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.04 and standard deviation of 0.19. The mean deviation of Dreyfus New Jersey is currently at 0.12. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.54 |
Dreyfus New Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Dreyfus New historical daily return volatility represents how much of Dreyfus New fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.1889% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Dreyfus New Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Dreyfus New or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Dreyfus New may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Dreyfus's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Dreyfus New and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Dreyfus New fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in municipal bonds that provide income exempt from federal and New Jersey state income taxes. It invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal bonds rated, at the time of purchase, investment grade or the unrated equivalent as determined by the adviser. The fund is non-diversified.
Dreyfus New's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Dreyfus Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Dreyfus New's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Dreyfus New's volatility to invest better
Higher Dreyfus New's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Dreyfus New Jersey fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Dreyfus New Jersey fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Dreyfus New Jersey investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Dreyfus New's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Dreyfus New's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Dreyfus New Investment Opportunity
NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.64 and is 3.37 times more volatile than Dreyfus New Jersey. 1 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Dreyfus New. You can use Dreyfus New Jersey to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Dreyfus New to be traded at $11.55 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Dreyfus New Jersey and NYA is 0.02 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Dreyfus New Jersey and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Dreyfus New Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dreyfus New's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dreyfus New's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Dreyfus New mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.123 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (3,738) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1872 | |||
| Variance | 0.035 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Dreyfus New Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Dreyfus New as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Dreyfus New's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Dreyfus New's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Dreyfus New Jersey.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dreyfus New Jersey. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.