Eni SPA Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

E -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ENI SpA which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Eni SPA hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ENI SpA from the prospective of Eni SPA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eni SPA over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Eni SPA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Eni SPA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Eni SPA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 21, 2019
31.13
Current Value
31.11
After-hype Price
34.08
Upside
Eni SPA is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ENI SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eni SPA Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12  0.99% 0.02   0.04  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.1331.110.06 
550.00

Eni SPA Hype Timeline

As of November 21, 2019 ENI SpA is listed for 31.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. ENI SpA is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 31.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 550.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Eni SPA is about 322.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 31.09. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ENI SpA last dividend was issued on 2019-09-23. The entity had 5:2 split on 2006-01-10. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally see Eni SPA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eni SPA Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BP plc(0.33) 10 per month 1.05 (0.009)  1.71 (2.06)  6.97 
ENI SpA(0.18) 9 per month 1.00 (0.0023)  1.39 (1.77)  4.00 
Equinor ASA 0.04 11 per month 1.17  0.06  3.67 (1.90)  10.33 
Adams Resources Energy 0.35 7 per month 1.74 (0.0422)  3.18 (3.21)  7.59 
Chevron Corporation(1.82) 9 per month 1.39 (0.05)  2.06 (2.18)  7.96 
Imperial Oil Limited(0.26) 8 per month 1.42 (0.0187)  2.82 (2.42)  6.63 
National Fuel Gas Company(0.66) 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.86 (2.23)  5.52 
Ecopetrol S A(0.05) 9 per month 1.34  0.06  2.72 (2.40)  8.23 
Petroleo Brasileiro S A Petro(0.01) 9 per month 1.86  0.0373  3.93 (3.00)  9.34 
Cenovus Energy(0.15) 9 per month 2.15  0.0133  4.82 (3.52)  17.81 
Additionally see Eni SPA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Cryptocurrency Correlation module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins and exchanges.
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