Correlation Between Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ellington Residential Mortgage and ARMOUR Residential REIT, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ellington Residential with a short position of ARMOUR Residential. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential.

Diversification Opportunities for Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential

0.36
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ellington and ARMOUR is 0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ellington Residential Mortgage and ARMOUR Residential REIT in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT and Ellington Residential is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ellington Residential Mortgage are associated (or correlated) with ARMOUR Residential. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ARMOUR Residential REIT has no effect on the direction of Ellington Residential i.e., Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ellington Residential Mortgage is expected to under-perform the ARMOUR Residential. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ellington Residential Mortgage is 1.13 times less risky than ARMOUR Residential. The stock trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ARMOUR Residential REIT is currently generating about -0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,895  in ARMOUR Residential REIT on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (58.00) from holding ARMOUR Residential REIT or give up 3.06% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ellington Residential Mortgage  vs.  ARMOUR Residential REIT

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ellington Residential 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ellington Residential Mortgage are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Ellington Residential displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
ARMOUR Residential REIT 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ARMOUR Residential REIT has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ellington Residential and ARMOUR Residential positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ellington Residential position performs unexpectedly, ARMOUR Residential can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARMOUR Residential will offset losses from the drop in ARMOUR Residential's long position.
The idea behind Ellington Residential Mortgage and ARMOUR Residential REIT pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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