Empire District Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Empire District headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Empire District Electric Company brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Empire District hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Empire District Electric Company from the prospective of Empire District response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Empire District over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Empire District Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Empire District estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
December 8, 2016
34.2
Current Value
Downside upside
34.2
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
35.04
Upside
Upside upside
Empire District is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Empire District is based on 1 month time horizon.

Empire District Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00% 0.28% 0.00%  0.00% 2 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.2034.200.00%
121.74% 

Empire District Hype Timeline

On 08 of December The Empire District Electric Company is traded for  34.20 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. The Empire District Electric Company is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 121.74%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Empire District is about 216.26%%. The volatility of related hype on Empire District is about 216.26% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 34.2. About 48.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. The Empire District Electric Company last dividend was issued on November 29, 2016. This company had 2:1 split on January 30, 1992. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Empire District Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Empire District Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Dencity
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SJVN Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.98  0.14 (2.18) 3.79 (1.62) 5.96 
Duke Energy Corporation 0.12 2 per month 0.00 (0.35) 0.00  2.00 (2.90) 5.73 
Dominion Resources Inc 0.40 2 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.00  1.65 (3.02) 5.49 
PGE Corporation 0.20 3 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.00  1.63 (2.75) 5.73 
American Electric Power Co Inc 0.65 3 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.00  1.53 (3.13) 5.60 
Korea Electric Power Corp(0.03)1 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.00  2.32 (2.22) 8.41 
PPL Corporation 0.43 2 per month 0.00 (0.37) 0.00  1.55 (2.14) 4.63 
Edison International 0.42 3 per month 0.00 (0.29) 0.00  1.61 (2.89) 5.51 
Consolidated Edison Inc(0.69)2 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.00  1.82 (3.96) 6.78 
WEC Energy Group Inc(0.12)3 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.00  1.83 (3.48) 6.10 
Dominion Midstream Partners LP 0.70 2 per month 1.41  0.11 (1.38) 2.49 (2.76) 5.86 
FirstEnergy Corp 0.10 2 per month 0.00 (0.53) 0.00  1.62 (3.87) 5.94 
El Paso Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Eversource Energy(0.13)2 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.00  1.85 (3.27) 6.34 
El Paso Electric Co 0.55 1 per month 1.65 (0.20)(1.14) 2.00 (2.59) 5.90 
Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc 0.57 2 per month 1.25 (0.05)(1.23) 2.18 (2.23) 5.03 
Atlantic Power Corporation 0.05 3 per month 1.36  0.18 (3.18) 5.77 (1.89) 11.95 
Antero Midstream Partners LP(0.79)2 per month 1.77 (0.07)(2.29) 4.87 (2.34) 8.80 
NiSource Inc 0.03 3 per month 0.00 (0.36) 0.00  1.62 (1.92) 4.49