Equifax Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

EFX -- USA Stock  

USD 143.74  2.45  1.73%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Equifax which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Equifax hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Equifax from the prospective of Equifax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Equifax over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Equifax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Equifax After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Equifax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 18, 2019
143.74
Current Value
139.72
Downside
144.10
After-hype Price
148.48
Upside
Equifax is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equifax is based on 2 months time horizon.

Equifax Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17% 1.46% 0.36%  0.14% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
143.74144.100.25%
69.52% 

Equifax Hype Timeline

On 18 of August Equifax is traded for 143.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Equifax is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 144.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 69.52%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.25% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Equifax is about 180.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 143.88. The company reported last year revenue of 3.4B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (425.1M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.97B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally see Equifax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Equifax Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Genpact Limited(0.42) 7 per month 1.20  0.12  1.74 (1.61)  11.55 
Visa(1.01) 9 per month 1.44  0.11  1.79 (1.94)  6.61 
Broadridge Financial Solutions 2.11 7 per month 0.00 (0.0063)  1.61 (1.86)  6.54 
BrightView Holdings 0.34 7 per month 3.20  0.041  4.25 (3.78)  14.84 
Verisk Analytics 2.41 8 per month 0.78  0.22  1.47 (1.19)  4.02 
Euronet Worldwide 2.45 4 per month 0.00 (0.0366)  2.67 (3.87)  8.17 
Excel Corp 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.0473  0.00 (2.86)  94.01 
ExlService Holdings 2.38 7 per month 1.46  0.1  2.47 (2.91)  6.34 
Exponent(0.12) 7 per month 0.34  0.30  2.42 (1.10)  9.44 
58(0.05) 9 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.78 (3.20)  8.84 

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