eHi Car Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

EHIC -- USA Stock  

USD 10.50  0.06  0.57%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with eHi Car Services Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With eHi Car hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of eHi Car Services Limited from the prospective of eHi Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on eHi Car over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see eHi Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

eHi Car After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

eHi Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 19, 2019
10.50
Current Value
10.53
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
16.32
Upside
eHi Car is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of eHi Car Services is based on 2 months time horizon.

eHi Car Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.29% 1.95% 0.03%  0.01% 4 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.5010.530.28%
1,950% 

eHi Car Hype Timeline

eHi Car Services is currently traded for10.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. eHi Car Services Limited is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 10.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1950.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on eHi Car is about 8128.39% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.49. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. eHi Car Services had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Additionally see eHi Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

eHi Car Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Air Lease Corporation 0.23 7 per month 2.68  0.0204  7.77 (4.39)  11.41 
eHi Car Services Limited(0.1) 4 per month 2.02  0.014  3.31 (3.64)  10.29 
Aarons(0.69) 9 per month 1.29  0.19  5.61 (2.81)  8.57 
AeroCentury Corp 0.23 6 per month 4.29  0.0103  5.54 (6.70)  18.37 
Aircastle Limited 0.31 7 per month 1.21  0.21  3.64 (2.17)  8.08 
CAI International(0.21) 4 per month 1.89  0.09  3.55 (2.92)  7.35 
Avis Budget Group 0.65 9 per month 2.43  0.0312  6.20 (4.54)  13.57 
FLY Leasing Limited 0.1 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.90 (2.43)  7.19 
General Finance Corporation(0.37) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0415)  5.23 (4.12)  19.87 
Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors LLC(0.39) 9 per month 2.20 (0.0172)  3.99 (3.27)  14.54 

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Additionally see eHi Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
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