eHi Car Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

EHIC -- USA Stock  

USD 11.61  0.23  2.02%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with eHi Car Services Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With eHi Car hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of eHi Car Services Limited from the prospective of eHi Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on eHi Car over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see eHi Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

eHi Car After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

eHi Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 22, 2018
11.61
Current Value
11.69
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
21.38
Upside
eHi Car is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of eHi Car Services is based on 1 month time horizon.

eHi Car Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.41% 3.23% 0.08%  0.00% 1 Events / Month6 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.6111.690.69%
1,615% 

eHi Car Hype Timeline

eHi Car Services Limited is currently traded for11.61. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. eHi Car Services Limited is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 11.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1615.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.69% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on eHi Car is about 40375.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.61. The company reported previous year revenue of 416.41 M. Net Income was 18.58 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 859.17 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally see eHi Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

eHi Car Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Air Lease Corporation 0.05 2 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.89 (1.13)  4.21 
eHi Car Services Limited 0.20 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  6.23 (3.43)  10.84 
Aarons(0.84) 3 per month 0.87  0.15  2.17 (1.53)  3.70 
AeroCentury Corp 0.00 2 per month 1.78  0.0213  4.44 (3.65)  17.32 
Aircastle Limited 0.14 3 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.35 (2.01)  4.06 
CAI International(0.40) 3 per month 2.39  0.0359  2.71 (4.33)  12.12 
Avis Budget Group 0.39 5 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.14 (2.00)  10.65 
FLY Leasing Limited 0.17 2 per month 0.00 (0.34)  1.38 (1.82)  3.05 
General Finance Corporation 0.15 5 per month 2.78  0.0186  2.99 (5.56)  10.03 
Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors LLC 0.06 3 per month 0.30 (0.07)  1.38 (0.78)  1.98 

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Additionally see eHi Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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