ELECTRONIC CONTROL Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

EKCS -- USA Stock  

USD 0.09  0.01  12.50%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ELECTRONIC CONTROL hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC from the prospective of ELECTRONIC CONTROL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ELECTRONIC CONTROL over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see ELECTRONIC CONTROL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ELECTRONIC CONTROL After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

ELECTRONIC CONTROL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
0.09
December 5, 2019
0.11
After-hype Price
44.60
Upside
ELECTRONIC CONTROL is out of control asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ELECTRONIC CONTROL is based on 3 months time horizon.

ELECTRONIC CONTROL Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.85  14.83  0.04   0.41  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.090.1121.83 
74,150  

ELECTRONIC CONTROL Hype Timeline

ELECTRONIC CONTROL is currently traded for0.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.41. ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 0.10965. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 74150.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 21.83% where as daily expected return is currently at 1.85%. The volatility of related hype on ELECTRONIC CONTROL is about 6650.22% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -0.32. The company currently holds 2.21 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 302.1 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ELECTRONIC CONTROL has Current Ratio of 1.12 suggesting that it is not liquid enough and may have problems to pay out its financial obligations when they are due. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally see ELECTRONIC CONTROL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ELECTRONIC CONTROL Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ASSA ABLOY 0.02 10 per month 1.48  0.0459  2.37 (2.37)  9.03 
SECOM CO 0.17 3 per month 1.19 (0.0443)  2.17 (1.89)  7.01 
Secom Ltd 0.00 4 per month 1.18 (0.0041)  2.52 (2.46)  14.79 
Allegion Plc(1.97) 8 per month 0.44  0.20  1.92 (1.26)  10.34 
Securitas Ab Cl B Fr 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (2.56)  0.00  0.00  0.25 
MSA Safety Incorporated(0.04) 6 per month 0.60  0.19  2.11 (1.36)  4.80 
Brinks Company 0.99 11 per month 1.22  0.18  2.44 (1.98)  7.17 
MSA SAFETY INC 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.0271  0.00  0.00  42.86 
Brady Corporation(0.03) 6 per month 1.07  0.16  3.10 (1.87)  8.92 
NAPCO Security Technologies(1.37) 9 per month 2.70  0.0417  3.80 (4.53)  12.40 
Additionally see ELECTRONIC CONTROL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Crypto Portfolio Optimizer module to optimize portfolio of digital coins and token across multiple currency and exchanges.
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