MFS Emerging Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

EMLCX -- USA Fund  

USD 6.86  0.01  0.15%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Emerging Markets Debt Local which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Emerging hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Emerging Markets Debt Local from the prospective of MFS Emerging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Emerging over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see MFS Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Emerging After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MFS Emerging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 17, 2019
6.86
Current Value
6.86
After-hype Price
7.97
Upside
MFS Emerging is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Emerging Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFS Emerging Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02  0.37% 0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.866.860.00 
0.00

MFS Emerging Hype Timeline

MFS Emerging Markets is currently traded for6.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MFS Emerging Markets Debt Local is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MFS Emerging is about 12333.33%%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Emerging is about 12333.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.86. The company last dividend was issued on Septembertember 30, 2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see MFS Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Emerging Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PIMCO Emerging Markets Local Cu 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0258)  0.72 (0.71)  1.60 
PIMCO Emerging Markets Local Cu 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0261)  0.72 (0.72)  1.60 
PIMCO Emerging Markets Local Cu 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0327)  0.72 (0.71)  1.60 
The Hartford Emerging Markets L 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0164)  0.70 (0.70)  1.71 
The Hartford Emerging Markets L 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0101)  0.70 (0.70)  1.58 
The Hartford Emerging Markets L 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.0097)  0.70 (0.70)  1.73 
Ivy Pictet Emerging Markets Loc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0268)  0.78 (0.67)  1.89 
Ivy Pictet Emerging Markets Loc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0182)  0.78 (0.67)  1.89 
Ivy Pictet Emerging Markets Loc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0146)  0.79 (0.68)  1.92 
Ivy Pictet Emerging Markets Loc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0132)  0.81 (0.68)  1.96 
Additionally see MFS Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
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