Equity Residential Stock Price Prediction
| EQR Stock | USD 60.99 0.58 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Equity Residential stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Equity Residential shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Equity Residential's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Equity Residential and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Equity Residential's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Equity Residential, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Equity Residential's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.957 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.63 | Wall Street Target Price 65.89 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Equity Residential based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Equity stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Equity Residential over a specific investment horizon. Using Equity Residential hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equity Residential from the perspective of Equity Residential response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Equity Residential using Equity Residential's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Equity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Equity Residential's stock price.
Equity Residential Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Equity Residential's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Equity. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Equity Residential stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Equity Residential may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Equity Residential and may potentially protect profits, hedge Equity Residential with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 61.1311 | Short Percent 0.0199 | Short Ratio 2.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 61.355 |
Equity Residential Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Equity Residential's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Equity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Equity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Equity Residential. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Equity Residential's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Equity Residential.
Equity Residential Implied Volatility | 40.22 |
Equity Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Equity Residential stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Equity Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Equity Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Equity Residential's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Equity Residential. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Equity Residential to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Equity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Equity Residential after-hype prediction price | USD 60.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Equity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Equity Residential will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.51% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Equity Residential trading at USD 60.99, that is roughly USD 1.53 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Equity Residential's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Equity Residential options at the current volatility level of 40.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Equity |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Equity Residential After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Equity Residential at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equity Residential or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Equity Residential, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Equity Residential Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Equity Residential's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equity Residential's historical news coverage. Equity Residential's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.56 and 62.36, respectively. We have considered Equity Residential's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Equity Residential is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equity Residential is based on 3 months time horizon.
Equity Residential Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Equity Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equity Residential backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equity Residential, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.40 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
60.99 | 60.96 | 0.05 |
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Equity Residential Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Equity Residential is traded for 60.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Equity is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 60.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 133.33%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Equity Residential is about 166.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.96. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Equity Residential was currently reported as 29.13. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of March 2024. Equity Residential had 2:1 split on the 12th of October 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Equity Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Equity Residential Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Equity Residential's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equity Residential's future price movements. Getting to know how Equity Residential's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equity Residential may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | (3.94) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.50 | (2.25) | 6.17 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.11 | (2.18) | 6.67 | |
| CPT | Camden Property Trust | (2.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.47 | (2.44) | 8.39 | |
| UDR | UDR Inc | 0.54 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.77 | (2.22) | 5.90 | |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 0.45 | 11 per month | 1.18 | (0.02) | 2.64 | (1.98) | 6.23 | |
| NXRT | Nexpoint Residential Trust | (0.02) | 7 per month | 2.30 | (0.03) | 3.95 | (3.65) | 10.36 |
Equity Residential Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Equity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Equity Residential Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Equity Residential stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Equity Residential, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Equity Residential based on analysis of Equity Residential hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Equity Residential's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Equity Residential's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0267 | 0.0421 | 0.0429 | 0.0615 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.73 | 8.12 | 8.17 | 5.21 |
Story Coverage note for Equity Residential
The number of cover stories for Equity Residential depends on current market conditions and Equity Residential's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equity Residential is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equity Residential's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Equity Residential Short Properties
Equity Residential's future price predictability will typically decrease when Equity Residential's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Equity Residential often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Equity Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.7 M |
Check out Equity Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Equity Stock, please use our How to Invest in Equity Residential guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Equity Stock analysis
When running Equity Residential's price analysis, check to measure Equity Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Equity Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Residential. If investors know Equity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equity Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.957 | Dividend Share 2.65 | Earnings Share 2.13 | Revenue Per Share 7.588 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
The market value of Equity Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equity Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equity Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equity Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equity Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Equity Residential is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.