ETRADE Financial Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ETFC -- USA Stock  

USD 48.51  2.07  4.46%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ETRADE Financial Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ETRADE Financial hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ETRADE Financial Corporation from the prospective of ETRADE Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ETRADE Financial over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see ETRADE Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ETRADE Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

ETRADE Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

May 24, 2019
48.51
Current Value
48.54
After-hype Price
52.74
Upside
ETRADE Financial is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETRADE Financial is based on 2 months time horizon.

ETRADE Financial Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 1.40% 0.03%  0.01% 8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.5148.540.06%
325.58% 

ETRADE Financial Hype Timeline

ETRADE Financial is currently traded for48.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. ETRADE Financial Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 48.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 325.58%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on ETRADE Financial is about 838.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 48.52. The company reported previous year revenue of 3B. Net Income was 1.05B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.72B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally see ETRADE Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ETRADE Financial Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Associated Capital Group 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.009)  2.75 (1.83)  6.25 
The Goldman Sachs Group 1.51 7 per month 1.45  0.0321  2.43 (2.12)  6.25 
Morgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
eBullion(0.005) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0377)  0.00  0.00  66.67 
ETRADE Financial Corporation 0.43 8 per month 1.48  0.06  2.08 (1.75)  7.06 
Envestnet 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Evercore 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FactSet Research Systems 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FS KKR Capital Corp(0.005) 5 per month 0.60  0.0179  1.28 (1.25)  3.09 
Greenhill Co(0.29) 8 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.96 (5.51)  19.45 
Additionally see ETRADE Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all macroaxis ideas. macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
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