Ford Motor Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Ford Motor headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Co brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Co from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
December 11, 2016
13.17
Current Value
Downside upside
13.12
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
17.41
Upside
Upside upside
Ford Motor is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor Co is based on 1 month time horizon.

Ford Motor Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.34% 1.49% 0.07%  0.04% 2 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.1713.120.38%
709.52% 

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of December 11, 2016 Ford Motor Co is going for 13.17 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Ford Motor Co is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 13.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 709.52%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.38% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 1362.8% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.21. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor Co last dividend was issued on October 25, 2016. This company had 1748175:1000000 split on August 3, 2000. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Dencity
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HERO MOTOCORP LTD INR2 0.00 0 per month 2.30 (0.08)(1.37) 2.46 (2.80) 5.41 
Toyota Motor Corporation(0.07)1 per month 0.00  0.21 (0.85) 2.87 (0.80) 3.67 
Honda Motor Co Ltd 0.06 1 per month 0.00  0.22 (1.01) 1.73 (0.83) 3.39 
Ford Motor Co(0.21)2 per month 0.31  0.22 (1.69) 3.93 (1.53) 5.46 
General Motors Company 0.25 3 per month 0.59  0.30 (2.08) 5.50 (2.18) 8.52 
Tata Motors Limited(0.31)2 per month 0.00 (0.44) 0.00  2.84 (4.54) 6.39 
Kandi Technologies Group Inc(0.40)2 per month 5.20  0.20 (6.54) 9.78 (7.96) 19.85 
SORL Auto Parts Inc(0.30)3 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.00  2.51 (6.21) 11.20 
Grande West Transportation Group Inc(0.01)1 per month 3.17  0.34 (7.02) 13.59 (7.62) 21.75 
ZAP 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  50.00 (33.33) 83.33 
Polaris Industries Inc(1.75)1 per month 1.84 (0.03)(1.94) 4.44 (2.30) 10.91 
Navistar International Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.35  0.00  3.42 (0.77) 9.17 
Tesla Motors Inc 3.01 3 per month 2.06 (0.07)(2.11) 3.59 (3.77) 7.56 
Thor Industries Inc 1.15 2 per month 0.00  0.41  0.00  4.07 (1.42) 14.06 
PACCAR Inc 0.22 1 per month 0.25  0.28 (1.64) 4.09 (1.61) 6.01