Ford Motor Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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F -- USA Stock  


Ford Motor Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The last year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 3.05. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 14.95, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to decline to 8.76. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Ford Motor hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Please check Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
  Expected price to next headline 

Ford Motor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
February 20, 2020
After-hype Price
Ford Motor is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ford Motor Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16  1.58  0.00   0.00  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility 

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of February 20, 2020 Ford Motor is listed for 8.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ford Motor Company is expected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 5266.67%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Ford Motor is about 12153.85%%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 12153.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.0. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor last dividend was issued on 2020-01-29. The entity had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Ford Motor Company 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.82 (1.82)  11.78 
General Motors Company(0.07) 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.13 (2.04)  5.59 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V 0.06 11 per month 0.00 (0.22)  2.58 (2.37)  10.27 
Honda Motor Company Ltd(0.08) 8 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.19 (1.78)  4.56 
NIO 0.02 10 per month 5.56  0.16  11.08 (11.71)  67.67 
Niu Technologies 0.02 8 per month 2.79  0.0116  4.54 (6.81)  19.82 
Kandi Technologies Group 0.21 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.06 (2.87)  11.16 
DAIMLER AG 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.55 (4.32)  11.91 
Blue Bird Corporation(0.07) 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.01 (4.06)  13.27 
IShares Edge MSCI Multifactor U 0.00 0 per month 0.46 (0.13)  0.89 (1.16)  3.35 

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Please check Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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