Ford Motor Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

F -- USA Stock  

Earnings Call  Tomorrow

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Ford Motor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 22, 2019
9.29
Current Value
9.29
After-hype Price
14.27
Upside
Ford Motor is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ford Motor Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20  1.66% 0.00   0.02  10 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.299.290.00 
8,300

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of October 22, 2019 Ford Motor is listed for 9.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Ford Motor Company is expected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 8300.0%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Ford Motor is about 1495.5%%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 1495.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.31. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.63. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-10-21. The firm had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Blue Bird Corporation 0.67 10 per month 2.39  0.029  3.71 (4.85)  11.24 
General Motors Company(0.05) 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.63 (3.96)  8.61 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V 0.06 9 per month 1.66  0.0138  2.78 (2.69)  8.74 
LGI Homes(0.64) 9 per month 1.65  0.13  3.17 (3.12)  13.90 
Ford Motor Company 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.14 (2.84)  9.03 
Kandi Technologies Group 0.05 7 per month 2.20  0.0105  4.88 (3.43)  11.36 
NIO(0.13) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0376)  11.18 (11.61)  58.84 
DAIMLER AG 0.85 9 per month 1.98  0.07  3.09 (2.85)  9.40 
Honda Motor Company Ltd 0.02 9 per month 2.29  0.0371  2.18 (1.68)  13.88 
Niu Technologies 0.26 9 per month 2.66  0.10  5.14 (5.17)  15.68 
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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