MGI UK (Ireland) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

F0000003HZ -- Ireland Fund  

GBp 20,852  314.00  1.48%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MGI UK Defensive I1 GBP which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MGI UK hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MGI UK Defensive I1 GBP from the prospective of MGI UK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MGI UK over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MGI UK After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MGI UK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 18, 2018
20,852
Current Value
0.00
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
0.00
Upside
MGI UK is Unknown risk asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MGI UK Defensive is based on 2 months time horizon.

MGI UK Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.08% 1.87% 0.00%  54.27% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20,8520.000.00%
0.00% 

MGI UK Hype Timeline

MGI UK Defensive I1 GBP is currently traded for 20,852on Irland Stock Exchange of Ireland. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 54.27. MGI UK Defensive I1 GBP is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 1.08%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MGI UK is about 3.72%%. The volatility of related hype on MGI UK is about 3.72% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 20906.27. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Investing Opportunities.

MGI UK Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SPDR Barclays 0 3 Year US Corp Bd ETF 50.25 1 per month 0.00  10.33  0.04 (0.04)  0.08 

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Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Commodity Channel Index module to use commodity channel index to analyze current equity momentum.
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