PNB Met (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

F00000H4SN -- India Fund  

INR 42.68  0.0011  0.0026%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PNB Met Life Multiplier which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With PNB Met hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of PNB Met Life Multiplier from the prospective of PNB Met response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on PNB Met over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see PNB Met Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

PNB Met After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

PNB Met Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 17, 2019
42.68
Current Value
42.68
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
45.14
Upside
PNB Met is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PNB Met Life is based on 2 months time horizon.

PNB Met Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06% 0.82% 0.00%  0.01% 5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.6842.680.00%
5,578% 

PNB Met Hype Timeline

PNB Met Life is currently traded for 42.68on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. PNB Met Life Multiplier is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 5578.23%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to PNB Met is about 710.02%%. The volatility of related hype on PNB Met is about 710.02% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 42.67. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally see PNB Met Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

PNB Met Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ICICI Pru Exports and Other Srvs Dir Gr(0.77) 3 per month 0.00 (0.09)  0.89 (1.33)  14.47 
Reliance Media Entertainment Bns 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.12 (1.40)  2.95 
PNB Met Life Accelerator 0.0338 6 per month 0.42 (0.12)  0.59 (0.89)  2.00 
UTI MNC Gr(0.24) 7 per month 0.00 (0.30)  0.74 (1.21)  2.37 
UTI MNC Dir Div(0.13) 6 per month 0.00 (0.24)  0.43 (1.26)  4.52 
IDFC Infrastructure A Div(0.05) 3 per month 0.00 (0.33)  1.04 (1.27)  4.39 
Birla Sun Life India GenNext Div 0.10 4 per month 0.00 (0.33)  0.70 (1.13)  2.15 
Sundaram SMILE Dir Gr 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10)  5.72 (10.83)  25.22 
BNP Paribas Mid Cap Gr(0.22) 3 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.87 (1.17)  2.60 
Sahara R E A L Div 0.12 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.05 (1.23)  5.34 

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Additionally see PNB Met Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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